Fifa International · resolved market
Will Cyprus vs. Romania end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58b04270764ab96bed7165adc8f0ec6bcf495691f304e6d3089b4d518e4f0dea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb21b…5e09backed No | 74c | 6,759$5,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,001.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0822…c30ebacked Yes | 26c | 3,850$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…38cfbacked Yes | 26c | 3,845$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,845.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08a0…a79abacked Yes | 26c | 2,305$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…af51backed No | 74c | 2,029$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 14c | 1,813$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.69 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 15c | 1,363$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.88 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffc8…d62fbacked No | 74c | 1,350$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 41c | 1,194$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.22 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 74c | 500$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd744…53ffbacked Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +377.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 22c | 428.43$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.59 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 74c | 135$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 129.13$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6a…9f0dbacked Yes | 80c | 108.39$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6038…413ebacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 69c | 97.68$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 24c | 82.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa1…80f8backed Yes | 25c | 79.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +113.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16d7…99ddbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76dd…59e8backed Yes | 73c | 55.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…61d8backed Yes | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 74c | 27.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b6…f9d9backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed No | 80c | 20.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cyprus vs. Romania end in a draw?this page
- Will Cyprus win on 2025-09-09?No won
- Will Romania win on 2025-09-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.