TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Acend - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Inner Circle Esportsof Inner Circle Esports, Acend
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,768
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,854

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,768 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5bbe…c65dbacked Acend1c12,076$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.7613315.8%21 W · 112 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Inner Circle Esports73c10,624$7,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,894.2963157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x88e7…7b50backed Acend39c4,693$1,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,828.36757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Acend25c3,493$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.382,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86bf…a172backed Acend39c2,839$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.553836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Acend1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Inner Circle Esports70c1,540$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.9853545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb29f…45b5backed Acend16c1,197$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.533641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9679…9315backed Acend36c1,159$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.678053.8%43 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36f9…4df8backed Inner Circle Esports54c1,050$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48318356.3%103 W · 80 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Acend36c1,016$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.161,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Acend34c1,008$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.3994645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Inner Circle Esports57c949.98$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.191,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Acend54c900$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.452,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Acend21c846.31$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.493,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Inner Circle Esports64c835.96$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.2845058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Acend23c820.97$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.284,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf21d…2e9abacked Inner Circle Esports50c715.22$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.918759.4%111 W · 76 L+15.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Inner Circle Esports70c714.43$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.431,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Inner Circle Esports76c711.25$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.124,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed Inner Circle Esports45c621.6$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.8818736.4%68 W · 119 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked Inner Circle Esports43c614.14$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.9522241.4%92 W · 130 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Acend20c565.7$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.13,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Inner Circle Esports68c536.36$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.1560953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Inner Circle Esports70c508$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.5529340.6%119 W · 174 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Inner Circle Esports62c505.76$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.191,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Acend40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Inner Circle Esports65c499.97$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.9937557.3%215 W · 160 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed Inner Circle Esports41c476.69$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.2548437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Acend29c404$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.25,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Acend21c383.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.532,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcc92…649dbacked Inner Circle Esports52c383$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.621838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Acend36c380.86$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.183,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Inner Circle Esports69c363.09$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.9540137.2%149 W · 252 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x59e2…1c55backed Inner Circle Esports66c360.17$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4610153.5%54 W · 47 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked Inner Circle Esports67c356.25$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.9140148.4%194 W · 207 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf54b…91f7backed Acend34c348.67$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.2216538.8%64 W · 101 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked Inner Circle Esports66c340.23$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.1739847.7%190 W · 208 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ee…663bbacked Inner Circle Esports70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9015044.7%67 W · 83 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63ff…5f94backed Inner Circle Esports69c290.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.6215259.9%91 W · 61 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Acend20c284.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.332,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a2b…9e83backed Acend57c273.24$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.554553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Acend21c269.66$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0460032.3%194 W · 406 L-49.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Acend26c258.01$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.021,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50f7…903abacked Acend30c250$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Acend38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9589248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9def…6eacbacked Inner Circle Esports39c250$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.520358.1%118 W · 85 L+22.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf7da…43d9backed Inner Circle Esports65c249.99$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.527156.1%152 W · 119 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c6…933abacked Acend66c219.65$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.8710457.7%60 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e8e…f9b2backed Acend47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009248.9%45 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Acend29c210$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.655941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Acend26c202.16$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2412118.2%22 W · 99 L-11.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-52.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Acend17c195.44$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.232630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-47.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x35f0…971ebacked Acend32c191$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1231647.8%151 W · 165 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Inner Circle Esports74c188.24$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9419342.5%82 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Acend35c187$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.592,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Acend35c174.86$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.21,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Acend61c174$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.0145646.9%214 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeed…f629backed Acend61c165.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Inner Circle Esports50c155.37$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6826546.8%124 W · 141 L-18.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1831…3ff8backed Inner Circle Esports60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6013649.3%67 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77f4…ecb3backed Inner Circle Esports68c147.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.213461.8%21 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Inner Circle Esports71c140.76$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.414,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Inner Circle Esports57c134.96$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9641054.6%224 W · 186 L-2.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8dff…e6a9backed Inner Circle Esports59c134.25$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c6e…0934backed Inner Circle Esports75c132.15$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.71291.7%11 W · 1 L+3.9wins+0.32per pick60cpaid+59.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x30dc…f26ebacked Inner Circle Esports66c131.68$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7716236.4%59 W · 103 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ae5…72d2backed Acend55c130.57$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8120154.7%110 W · 91 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked Acend33c127.65$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5722729.1%66 W · 161 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8e…8e0dbacked Inner Circle Esports54c120$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.250358.6%295 W · 208 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26bd…e53bbacked Acend21c119.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515047.3%71 W · 79 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x169e…88c9backed Acend17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205957.6%34 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ae…84d8backed Acend18c115.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.413219.7%26 W · 106 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-48.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5867…2e20backed Acend55c109.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6021636.1%78 W · 138 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3265…cf6bbacked Acend32c102.64$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7914331.5%45 W · 98 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Acend16c102$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.122,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked Acend59c101.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6035449.7%176 W · 178 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed Acend25c100.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2543933.7%148 W · 291 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7999…1d86backed Inner Circle Esports40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6024842.3%105 W · 143 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafc5…2b1dbacked Acend38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388333.7%28 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c6c…b6d7backed Inner Circle Esports76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247954.4%43 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Inner Circle Esports63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.61,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Inner Circle Esports46c98.26$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.267044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Inner Circle Esports51c90.77$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.241,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5539…19f8backed Acend48c89.58$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f40…c8ffbacked Acend26c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.411831.4%37 W · 81 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f17…6001backed Inner Circle Esports52c75.77$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.187152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Inner Circle Esports67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6365662.3%409 W · 247 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cb3…3f31backed Inner Circle Esports68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.536858.8%40 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…1068backed Inner Circle Esports67c68.22$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6632361.6%199 W · 124 L+0.4wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Inner Circle Esports49c66.63$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.112,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed Acend35c65$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7532042.5%136 W · 184 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Acend35c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2185851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b22…377ebacked Inner Circle Esports72c59$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4536174.8%270 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Acend34c53.04$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0337145.6%169 W · 202 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a49…4985backed Acend35c51.43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182250%11 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75c7…fcccbacked Acend31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.620444.1%90 W · 114 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8bd…fc74backed Acend35c45.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1630831.2%96 W · 212 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60b8…d47dbacked Inner Circle Esports71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2560857.2%348 W · 260 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Inner Circle Esports52c40.98$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8763038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.