TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Acend - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Acendof Inner Circle Esports, Acend
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,568
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,456

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,568 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Acend48c15,123$7,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,902.4563157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Acend31c6,278$1,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,355.792,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Inner Circle Esports60c5,529$3,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,317.3333359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9625…5bb7backed Acend60c2,976$1,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.395459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb29f…45b5backed Inner Circle Esports42c2,500$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0403641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Inner Circle Esports1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88e7…7b50backed Inner Circle Esports58c1,750$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1c…9867backed Inner Circle Esports62c1,621$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002548%12 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Acend58c1,362$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.663,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Inner Circle Esports46c1,046$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.7732832.3%106 W · 222 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Acend37c999.98$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.991,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Acend45c995.95$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.593,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xab27…0c65backed Acend40c875$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5255162.7%32 W · 19 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb20b…a3e1backed Inner Circle Esports61c808.23$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.323836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Inner Circle Esports66c757.36$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Acend40c715$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.1594645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Inner Circle Esports61c697.76$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.632,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Acend53c516$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.22,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Acend45c509.07$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.673,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Inner Circle Esports61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3051,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Inner Circle Esports60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30037557.3%215 W · 160 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Inner Circle Esports50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25026546.8%124 W · 141 L-18.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Acend46c456.97$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.82,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Inner Circle Esports48c438$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.215,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Acend45c434.06$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.431,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Acend52c390.39$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.24,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf21d…2e9abacked Inner Circle Esports51c379.99$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.6918759.4%111 W · 76 L+15.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf54b…91f7backed Inner Circle Esports49c377.84$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.9116538.8%64 W · 101 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb27f…2c41backed Acend52c376.92$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.9212752.8%67 W · 60 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Inner Circle Esports55c329.29$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.491,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked Inner Circle Esports63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040148.4%194 W · 207 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9def…6eacbacked Inner Circle Esports38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11420358.1%118 W · 85 L+22.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Inner Circle Esports61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18385851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Acend64c264$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1949143%211 W · 280 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Inner Circle Esports42c255.28$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.152,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7999…1d86backed Acend33c252.98$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.8724842.3%105 W · 143 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c4c…066ebacked Inner Circle Esports60c251.58$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.83862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c6e…0934backed Acend53c251.13$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.171291.7%11 W · 1 L+3.9wins+0.32per pick60cpaid+59.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Inner Circle Esports65c247.7$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.824,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Acend40c245.17$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.157044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked Inner Circle Esports63c227.76$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.8439847.7%190 W · 208 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Inner Circle Esports60c226.91$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.147,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed Acend40c222$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.8719840.9%81 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Inner Circle Esports65c217.3$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.8960953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd241…6c35backed Acend61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787742.9%33 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c52…9eaebacked Acend61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788332.5%27 W · 56 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0785…3540backed Acend61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e5a…96bcbacked Inner Circle Esports53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10615246.1%70 W · 82 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked Acend39c197.48$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.5522241.4%92 W · 130 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Inner Circle Esports64c175.84$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.0720242.1%85 W · 117 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8373…7475backed Acend53c165.74$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.741855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Acend46c160.98$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.392,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83b3…c2d7backed Inner Circle Esports49c158.09$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.996457.8%37 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d34…e654backed Acend51c148$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.52951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Acend45c145.86$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.221,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Acend70c140.63$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5519342.5%82 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Acend44c134.35$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3875438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dff…e6a9backed Inner Circle Esports59c128.81$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22c7…3e23backed Inner Circle Esports60c115$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6914037.1%52 W · 88 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Inner Circle Esports58c110.09$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.772,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked Acend55c108.87$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8735449.7%176 W · 178 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ae…84d8backed Inner Circle Esports32c106.01$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.913219.7%26 W · 106 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-48.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x50f7…903abacked Acend35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6efa…a0a7backed Inner Circle Esports40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030247%142 W · 160 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed03…1caabacked Acend36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647749.4%38 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ccb…6cb3backed Acend61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393540%14 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3265…cf6bbacked Acend34c99.98$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9814331.5%45 W · 98 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Acend27c98.69$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.111,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d6…423dbacked Acend61c97.97$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.218240.2%33 W · 49 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Inner Circle Esports64c97.12$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4947053.2%250 W · 220 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Acend56c96.53$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1552449%257 W · 267 L-27.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Acend44c96.19$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.661,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed Acend35c94.88$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6732042.5%136 W · 184 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18e4…e2bbbacked Inner Circle Esports34c90.48$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.768562.4%53 W · 32 L+14.2wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe432…934abacked Acend38c89.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.793756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Inner Circle Esports55c88.27$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.342,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Inner Circle Esports55c87.27$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…1068backed Inner Circle Esports58c86.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032361.6%199 W · 124 L+0.4wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Acend40c82.88$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8854543.5%237 W · 308 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf99e…bde6backed Acend47c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3258762.2%365 W · 222 L+20.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Acend46c77.15$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8863038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked Inner Circle Esports66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035466.1%234 W · 120 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b9a…73fabacked Inner Circle Esports54c71.2$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5539353.2%209 W · 184 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b22…377ebacked Inner Circle Esports66c70$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8836174.8%270 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Acend58c68.23$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.471,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Inner Circle Esports46c64.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0177146%355 W · 416 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed Inner Circle Esports62c64.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9977351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Inner Circle Esports63c64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4089046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Inner Circle Esports65c63$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9545754.5%249 W · 208 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Acend33c61.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6180741.3%333 W · 474 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf05…5efcbacked Inner Circle Esports37c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.23013.3%4 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-66.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7b2…70f0backed Acend44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.642831.3%134 W · 294 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Inner Circle Esports61c58.75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8437859.5%225 W · 153 L+1.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Inner Circle Esports61c55.51$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.642,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f18…ae1fbacked Inner Circle Esports53c55.29$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.433470.6%24 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbf0b…7cccbacked Inner Circle Esports56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2845450.2%228 W · 226 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Inner Circle Esports40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2063541.1%261 W · 374 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Acend70c49.83$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9365662.3%409 W · 247 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ff8…3a15backed Inner Circle Esports39c48.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.863040%12 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Inner Circle Esports61c47.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2718753.5%100 W · 87 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.