TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-09-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,535
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,439

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,535 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb230…4193backed No49c11,444$5,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,850.586643.9%29 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Yes52c7,688$3,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9982020%4 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-58.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Yes52c6,045$3,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,143.37147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick25cpaid-86.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No50c5,081$2,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,540.63336.4%12 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick30cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No50c3,918$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,978.3712525.6%32 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No48c3,884$1,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,019.6817345.7%79 W · 94 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes52c3,846$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x699d…7b47backed Yes36c3,362$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.055721.1%12 W · 45 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed Yes50c3,301$1,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650.61866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No48c2,900$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.9612451.6%64 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8456…b31dbacked Yes53c2,619$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes3c2,499$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9716331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes50c1,992$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.1831945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Yes51c1,978$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.978148.1%39 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Yes52c1,932$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No50c1,800$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9006240.3%25 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes32c1,574$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.564,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdde…c019backed Yes57c1,382$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.151752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No47c1,334$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.7616244.4%72 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf21a…b6e3backed Yes54c1,292$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No48c1,072$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.4421542.8%92 W · 123 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No46c1,003$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.8121140.3%85 W · 126 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50047032.8%154 W · 316 L-0.7wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Yes35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3506844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5207552%39 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4906540%26 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed No50c992.24$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.241369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes50c948.65$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.1513748.2%66 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No44c639.91$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.7128133.1%93 W · 188 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed No45c619.97$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.999618.8%18 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes49c577.67$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.06119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-69.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Yes49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007445.9%34 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5031…1ffbbacked Yes55c360.94$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No47c315$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.9514040.7%57 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a4c…6579backed No46c304$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.62227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-53.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes51c299.99$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1533271.9%23 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+29.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes21c283.32$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.33,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes52c229.34$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12036349.3%179 W · 184 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9610033%33 W · 67 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No48c194.99$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9235848.3%173 W · 185 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b6b…12e7backed Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e03…c8f4backed Yes56c168.85$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x384a…39c0backed No48c159.99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.191520%3 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-62.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked No50c149.04$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.521145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a2d…82f1backed Yes54c138.17$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes29c136.36$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010629.2%31 W · 75 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed No49c129$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.793732.4%12 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdcc8…5671backed Yes56c122.63$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked Yes16c120$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.27038.6%27 W · 43 L+11.0wins+0.16per pick23cpaid+69%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No46c112$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4820245.5%92 W · 110 L-13.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x008e…5747backed No49c111.76$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6899…6853backed No47c108.39$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+77.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43a2…59c9backed Yes56c104.5$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed No48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1710944%48 W · 61 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeebb…ef1fbacked Yes52c103.75$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bf…345abacked Yes54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-36.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked Yes49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9be…27bcbacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe505…fadbbacked No52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.154837.5%18 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bb1…6bcfbacked Yes43c90$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.61338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-39.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Yes59c84.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504057.5%23 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No45c80.47$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.262740.7%11 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No46c78$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1212047.5%57 W · 63 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402744.4%12 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed No52c75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed No50c73.04$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.523528.6%10 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x60e3…08a6backed Yes29c68.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes37c67.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1924647.6%117 W · 129 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes51c64$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.649643.8%42 W · 54 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4fa…ccdbbacked Yes42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.22568%17 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes52c59.62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316018.3%11 W · 49 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-44.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2000…df78backed Yes53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010933%36 W · 73 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.027950.6%40 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0211554.8%63 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e2d…2d55backed Yes59c50.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30850%4 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed No48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7272…7135backed Yes51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.51656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85cc…4895backed Yes54c42.59$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…0918backed Yes52c42.31$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked Yes52c40.38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ddd…6144backed Yes52c38.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab3f…512cbacked Yes54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02be…d803backed Yes57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89d1…6448backed Yes57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x188e…4812backed Yes54c35.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.93771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes56c33.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7600…49e5backed Yes52c32.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc48d…8a40backed Yes52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.62673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a30…fca1backed No54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.81250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4029…9122backed Yes52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.61764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ab…ae45backed Yes58c27.59$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7373…3964backed Yes53c23.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.392166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8da…116fbacked Yes51c20.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeee1…398abacked Yes54c20.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed42…7718backed No50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Yes51c19.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.033636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.