Fifa International · resolved market
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-09-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d0add682040384ebac0377ebb75a7bdf059c42707f9845d3847b2fb77d61f02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 49c | 11,444$5,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,850.58 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 52c | 7,688$3,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,998 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Yes | 52c | 6,045$3,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,143.37 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 25cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 50c | 5,081$2,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,540.6 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 50c | 3,918$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.37 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 48c | 3,884$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.68 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…7b47backed Yes | 36c | 3,362$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.05 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Yes | 50c | 3,301$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.6 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 48c | 2,900$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.96 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8456…b31dbacked Yes | 53c | 2,619$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 3c | 2,499$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 50c | 1,992$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.18 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Yes | 51c | 1,978$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.97 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 52c | 1,932$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 1,574$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.56 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdde…c019backed Yes | 57c | 1,382$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 47c | 1,334$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.76 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…b6e3backed Yes | 54c | 1,292$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 48c | 1,072$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.44 | 215 | 42.8%92 W · 123 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 46c | 1,003$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.81 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed No | 50c | 992.24$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.24 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 50c | 948.65$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.15 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 44c | 639.91$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.71 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 45c | 619.97$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.99 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes | 49c | 577.67$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.06 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked Yes | 55c | 360.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 47c | 315$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.95 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 46c | 304$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.6 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 21c | 283.32$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.3 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 52c | 229.34$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 48c | 194.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.92 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…12e7backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e03…c8f4backed Yes | 56c | 168.85$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed No | 48c | 159.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.19 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked No | 50c | 149.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2d…82f1backed Yes | 54c | 138.17$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 29c | 136.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 49c | 129$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.79 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc8…5671backed Yes | 56c | 122.63$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +69%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 46c | 112$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x008e…5747backed No | 49c | 111.76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6899…6853backed No | 47c | 108.39$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a2…59c9backed Yes | 56c | 104.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…ef1fbacked Yes | 52c | 103.75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9be…27bcbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…6bcfbacked Yes | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Yes | 59c | 84.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 45c | 80.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.26 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 46c | 78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed No | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 50c | 73.04$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…08a6backed Yes | 29c | 68.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 37c | 67.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 51c | 64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…ccdbbacked Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 52c | 59.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2d…2d55backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Yes | 54c | 42.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…0918backed Yes | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Yes | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddd…6144backed Yes | 52c | 38.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3f…512cbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02be…d803backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x188e…4812backed Yes | 54c | 35.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 56c | 33.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…49e5backed Yes | 52c | 32.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a30…fca1backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4029…9122backed Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…ae45backed Yes | 58c | 27.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Yes | 53c | 23.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8da…116fbacked Yes | 51c | 20.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee1…398abacked Yes | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed42…7718backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 51c | 19.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-09-09?this page
- Will Armenia vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw?No won
- Will Armenia win on 2025-09-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.