CS2 · resolved market
CS: Gentle Mates vs 9INE
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e0661603064dc38c0ed001f69e468042f585da0acee67bc928f210978d2fb40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Matesof Gentle Mates, 9INE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed 9INE | 0c | 6,026$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…5c62backed Gentle Mates | 48c | 1,755$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.8 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed 9INE | 52c | 680$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.4 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Gentle Mates | 47c | 380$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.4 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…a304backed 9INE | 53c | 280$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba7…2cdbbacked 9INE | 56c | 140$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked Gentle Mates | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Gentle Mates | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Gentle Mates | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed 9INE | 53c | 73.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked 9INE | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Gentle Mates | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed 9INE | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed 9INE | 38c | 32.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 208 | 56.3%117 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.