Tennis · resolved market
US Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Marcos Giron
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12d8c025e568952af493692999c1f40c770e86b05a37e77db10fe05d632bf7d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bonziof Bonzi, Giron
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a05…5c62backed Bonzi | 50c | 43,758$21,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,879.16 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Giron | 15c | 21,760$3,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,228.8 | 139 | 34.5%48 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed Giron | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Giron | 50c | 13,900$6,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,950 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Giron | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Giron | 49c | 7,528$3,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,688.61 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56f…75efbacked Bonzi | 51c | 7,166$3,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,511.49 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Bonzi | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Bonzi | 77c | 2,952$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.91 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Giron | 59c | 2,206$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.97 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Giron | 32c | 2,091$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.11 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Bonzi | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Giron | 49c | 1,800$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.5 | 365 | 40.8%149 W · 216 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e0bdbacked Bonzi | 27c | 1,601$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.69 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Giron | 49c | 1,541$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.13 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Giron | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giron | 50c | 1,470$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.12 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Giron | 59c | 1,276$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.9 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c92…1b05backed Bonzi | 36c | 1,050$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Giron | 52c | 900$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Bonzi | 52c | 800$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.08 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Bonzi | 28c | 719.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.18 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…1742backed Bonzi | 29c | 677.28$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Giron | 30c | 518.03$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.12 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Bonzi | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Bonzi | 35c | 461.13$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.42 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Bonzi | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Bonzi | 39c | 345.43$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.23 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Giron | 41c | 324.07$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.35 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c67…4622backed Bonzi | 52c | 218.17$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Bonzi | 50c | 200.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.18 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bonzi | 50c | 200.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.18 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Giron | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Bonzi | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Giron | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Bonzi | 63c | 179.85$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.95 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Bonzi | 32c | 166.38$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.68 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…f687backed Bonzi | 49c | 152.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…ea3dbacked Giron | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Bonzi | 13c | 150$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +84%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Giron | 37c | 149.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Bonzi | 69c | 141.15$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.76 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Giron | 44c | 138.46$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49f…3408backed Giron | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Giron | 49c | 129.82$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.61 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Giron | 50c | 106.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Giron | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53d…c0debacked Bonzi | 51c | 83.12$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Giron | 54c | 79.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Bonzi | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Giron | 69c | 46.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bonzi | 63c | 45.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 2,839 | 47.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Bonzi | 48c | 41.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Bonzi | 63c | 41.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d9…26ebbacked Bonzi | 60c | 39.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 57cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Bonzi | 70c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b2…273bbacked Bonzi | 68c | 34.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Bonzi | 51c | 23.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.