Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: BNK FEARX vs. DN Freecs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa13c510e137f2b4328e196f629143fbabc93b841e1d52c8eeaa86b9a634d95f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BNK FEARXof BNK FEARX, DN Freecs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a05…5c62backed DN Freecs | 20c | 26,899$5,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,388.42 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed DN Freecs | 21c | 20,917$4,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,313.24 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bd…bf7bbacked BNK FEARX | 80c | 19,258$15,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,851.52 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked BNK FEARX | 79c | 16,724$13,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,493.33 | 323 | 50.8%164 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe529…e7b1backed BNK FEARX | 79c | 13,459$10,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,853.11 | 87 | 69%60 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed DN Freecs | 25c | 10,961$2,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,742.07 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed DN Freecs | 14c | 7,968$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.68 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed DN Freecs | 20c | 7,020$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.09 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed BNK FEARX | 79c | 5,301$4,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.32 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3219…4f05backed BNK FEARX | 79c | 4,765$3,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked DN Freecs | 21c | 4,429$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.09 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed DN Freecs | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e98…ae0fbacked BNK FEARX | 72c | 2,850$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed DN Freecs | 22c | 1,856$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked DN Freecs | 20c | 1,013$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.66 | 91 | 27.5%25 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed BNK FEARX | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed BNK FEARX | 73c | 900$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239 | 525 | 38.9%204 W · 321 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…35c7backed BNK FEARX | 72c | 833.33$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked BNK FEARX | 80c | 815$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked DN Freecs | 21c | 812.95$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.72 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb3…26aebacked DN Freecs | 12c | 791.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed BNK FEARX | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 1,305 | 55.9%729 W · 576 L | +44.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b22…1d59backed BNK FEARX | 80c | 691.25$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.25 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked BNK FEARX | 73c | 650.11$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked BNK FEARX | 80c | 620$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked DN Freecs | 12c | 590.21$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.31 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked BNK FEARX | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 194 | 51%99 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed BNK FEARX | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed DN Freecs | 23c | 430$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed DN Freecs | 29c | 416.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.86 | 302 | 43%130 W · 172 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5a…b7aabacked BNK FEARX | 80c | 380$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed BNK FEARX | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 504 | 55%277 W · 227 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed BNK FEARX | 80c | 375.11$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.02 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked DN Freecs | 16c | 350$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.56 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed DN Freecs | 21c | 325$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed DN Freecs | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed DN Freecs | 10c | 300.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed BNK FEARX | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed BNK FEARX | 77c | 296.4$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.53 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed DN Freecs | 20c | 279.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 618 | 49.8%308 W · 310 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed BNK FEARX | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…4bcabacked DN Freecs | 30c | 250.28$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.08 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed BNK FEARX | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 153 | 70.6%108 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…95adbacked DN Freecs | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked BNK FEARX | 79c | 247.2$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.91 | 131 | 64.9%85 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed BNK FEARX | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed BNK FEARX | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed DN Freecs | 25c | 188.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 538 | 29.4%158 W · 380 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…40afbacked BNK FEARX | 80c | 175$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 345 | 65.5%226 W · 119 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd4…8598backed BNK FEARX | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab5…2c4dbacked BNK FEARX | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed BNK FEARX | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 205 | 63.9%131 W · 74 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed BNK FEARX | 78c | 125$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 433 | 48.7%211 W · 222 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed BNK FEARX | 70c | 114.39$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed BNK FEARX | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked DN Freecs | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed DN Freecs | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…27bfbacked BNK FEARX | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed DN Freecs | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…cc3abacked BNK FEARX | 70c | 93.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked DN Freecs | 21c | 82.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed BNK FEARX | 71c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…829ebacked DN Freecs | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0d…786fbacked BNK FEARX | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked DN Freecs | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked DN Freecs | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed DN Freecs | 22c | 54.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed BNK FEARX | 79c | 29.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…8d1bbacked BNK FEARX | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fc…9cbdbacked BNK FEARX | 80c | 21.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed BNK FEARX | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 364 | 65.1%237 W · 127 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f0…0e43backed BNK FEARX | 77c | 19.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed5…5b04backed BNK FEARX | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…0495backed BNK FEARX | 80c | 13.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.77 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 72cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa1…c02dbacked BNK FEARX | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.