Tennis · resolved market
US Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Leandro Riedi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x338e056d8a7ca1e0ea71bee216f442cd6605ee44931df239bc5288a9e6bd8eb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Riediof Majchrzak, Riedi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Majchrzak | 1c | 1,700$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Majchrzak | 51c | 1,385$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Riedi | 55c | 1,086$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.63 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Majchrzak | 26c | 890.65$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.25 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Majchrzak | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Majchrzak | 38c | 459$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.42 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Riedi | 41c | 393.11$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.45 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked Majchrzak | 62c | 325.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Majchrzak | 60c | 311.47$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.91 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Riedi | 40c | 290.19$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.14 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Majchrzak | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Riedi | 41c | 243.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.7 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Riedi | 38c | 230.53$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.53 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Riedi | 40c | 214.47$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.68 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…5c62backed Majchrzak | 59c | 192.76$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.77 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Riedi | 42c | 186.74$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.31 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Riedi | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…4d8ebacked Majchrzak | 58c | 99.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Majchrzak | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Riedi | 42c | 94.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Majchrzak | 60c | 83.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Riedi | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 173 | 38.7%67 W · 106 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21cd…e7aabacked Riedi | 30c | 67.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Riedi | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…36abbacked Majchrzak | 60c | 46.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Majchrzak | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…ac55backed Majchrzak | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.