Tennis · resolved market
US Open: Cameron Norrie vs Francisco Comesana
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb27c10fa494606cfaf40078441699fa1c1cc8c4a0a71f0e2b730ff11da7ba774
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Norrieof Norrie, Comesana
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a05…5c62backed Norrie | 66c | 35,290$23,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,100.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Comesana | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Comesana | 35c | 6,825$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.69 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Comesana | 30c | 5,626$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.99 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Comesana | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Comesana | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.99 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Comesana | 34c | 3,196$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.48 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Norrie | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Comesana | 16c | 1,892$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.28 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Comesana | 25c | 1,700$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.9 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Comesana | 35c | 1,550$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.5 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4d…69e7backed Norrie | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -5.5wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -40%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Norrie | 73c | 1,436$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.75 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Comesana | 31c | 1,086$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.84 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Comesana | 34c | 999.92$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.36 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Comesana | 9c | 999.35$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.94 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Comesana | 35c | 978$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.3 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Comesana | 33c | 971.96$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Comesana | 10c | 867.9$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.79 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Comesana | 35c | 858$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.3 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Norrie | 74c | 809.49$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.34 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Comesana | 33c | 800$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Comesana | 34c | 777.27$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.27 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Norrie | 77c | 708.08$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.49 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe65f…a749backed Norrie | 72c | 648.35$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.4 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Norrie | 64c | 499.56$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.84 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Comesana | 34c | 496$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.64 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Comesana | 44c | 456.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Comesana | 46c | 360$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.4 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Norrie | 65c | 342.83$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.49 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cc…3f0fbacked Norrie | 66c | 311.64$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.96 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Comesana | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +84%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Comesana | 34c | 288.3$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.38 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Comesana | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Comesana | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Norrie | 77c | 283$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c67…4622backed Norrie | 80c | 270.98$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…ea3dbacked Norrie | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Comesana | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Comesana | 37c | 192.63$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Comesana | 35c | 174.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.11 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Comesana | 20c | 155.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Comesana | 36c | 154.69$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.69 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Norrie | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e1…9c10backed Norrie | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Norrie | 66c | 101.21$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Comesana | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…63d8backed Comesana | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…bdf6backed Norrie | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Comesana | 31c | 95.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21cd…e7aabacked Comesana | 22c | 92.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Comesana | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Norrie | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…2a64backed Norrie | 50c | 30.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b2…273bbacked Norrie | 72c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Norrie | 69c | 25.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Norrie | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.