CS2 · resolved market
Valorant: DRX vs NRG
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f21b5b9f4ae6b4be97590723e9a8c614b03aaa3d9cef462f200befcd9b06f50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof DRX, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed NRG | 54c | 10,298$5,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,701.61 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +6.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed DRX | 45c | 9,498$4,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,249.33 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…5c62backed NRG | 56c | 5,737$3,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,528.06 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed DRX | 44c | 3,127$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.15 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked NRG | 59c | 2,541$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.28 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked DRX | 46c | 2,504$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.22 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed DRX | 45c | 2,340$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.79 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed DRX | 45c | 1,865$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.7 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked DRX | 45c | 1,717$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.6 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed NRG | 45c | 1,599$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.5 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked DRX | 42c | 1,247$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.75 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed NRG | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed DRX | 38c | 788.66$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.43 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked NRG | 55c | 642.17$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.98 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc5…53c3backed NRG | 56c | 540$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.6 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3c…a6a3backed NRG | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…99ffbacked DRX | 45c | 442.22$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed DRX | 45c | 413.33$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed DRX | 43c | 393.06$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.02 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed DRX | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…46fcbacked DRX | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked DRX | 46c | 281.11$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.98 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed NRG | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…51edbacked NRG | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked NRG | 32c | 177.7$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.16 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc1…ca19backed DRX | 46c | 177.33$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked NRG | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed NRG | 58c | 102.76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…e407backed DRX | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed DRX | 45c | 94.51$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed NRG | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed NRG | 36c | 54.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed NRG | 57c | 52.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 207 | 44.4%92 W · 115 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed NRG | 28c | 50.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked NRG | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed DRX | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 69.6%78 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.