Tennis · resolved market
US Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Holger Rune
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27e92634490a9717ebe25995239d3b141ea82ee9bb47ca1886c0185e07b7297f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Runeof Zandschulp, Rune
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Zandschulp | 0c | 11,180$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…7260backed Rune | 74c | 8,408$6,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 76cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Zandschulp | 26c | 6,664$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.51 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…a880backed Zandschulp | 25c | 5,165$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.1 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Zandschulp | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Zandschulp | 16c | 2,999$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.2 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Rune | 72c | 2,890$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.31 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Rune | 76c | 2,636$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.54 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Zandschulp | 19c | 2,196$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.83 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Zandschulp | 19c | 1,176$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.83 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4d…69e7backed Rune | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -5.5wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -40%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Zandschulp | 25c | 884.11$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.03 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Zandschulp | 26c | 786.33$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.51 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Zandschulp | 5c | 782$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zandschulp | 14c | 730.4$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.14 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Zandschulp | 10c | 650$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Rune | 72c | 399.99$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…489fbacked Rune | 72c | 350$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Zandschulp | 29c | 341.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Zandschulp | 6c | 310.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Zandschulp | 26c | 299.96$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 157 | 24.8%39 W · 118 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Zandschulp | 27c | 271.23$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.23 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Rune | 73c | 269.86$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rune | 73c | 267$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.64 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…5897backed Rune | 75c | 266.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…f067backed Zandschulp | 14c | 266.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Zandschulp | 12c | 211.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +182.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Zandschulp | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa518…24b4backed Zandschulp | 6c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Zandschulp | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked Rune | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Zandschulp | 26c | 160$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Rune | 80c | 123.93$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55bf…e2ddbacked Zandschulp | 13c | 110$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Zandschulp | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 85 | 22.4%19 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Zandschulp | 26c | 76.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Zandschulp | 28c | 74.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Zandschulp | 27c | 68.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 220 | 37.7%83 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Rune | 73c | 68.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 236 | 70.8%167 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Rune | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Zandschulp | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.29per pick | 50cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.