Tennis · resolved market
US Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Jerome Kym
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbca42cc8f2895665fcd5af5001ff7417d173330fe7c0161cb31afce8c11a06ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kymof Nakashima, Kym
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Kym | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500.25 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbc…689fbacked Nakashima | 77c | 3,988$3,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,052.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 78cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Kym | 33c | 3,801$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,546.53 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Kym | 24c | 3,216$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,451.23 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Kym | 20c | 3,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390.09 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed Kym | 25c | 2,895$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,171.41 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Nakashima | 75c | 2,610$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.5 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe65f…a749backed Nakashima | 51c | 2,149$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.68 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e2…e415backed Kym | 27c | 1,778$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf75…ee4fbacked Nakashima | 79c | 1,778$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Nakashima | 67c | 1,561$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.85 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4d…69e7backed Nakashima | 76c | 1,400$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -5.5wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -40%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…2f0dbacked Kym | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Nakashima | 70c | 962$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -4.5wins | -0.41per pick | 68cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Nakashima | 68c | 949.97$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.48 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Kym | 24c | 800$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Kym | 26c | 787.54$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.78 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Nakashima | 61c | 750$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.5 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Kym | 31c | 618.82$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.51 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…6519backed Nakashima | 74c | 616.09$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Kym | 42c | 577.59$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.59 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Kym | 22c | 500$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Kym | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Nakashima | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Kym | 23c | 440$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.8 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Kym | 24c | 420.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.4 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kym | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Kym | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Kym | 70c | 350$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Kym | 25c | 318$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.12 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Kym | 53c | 316.88$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.67 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…f4f2backed Nakashima | 74c | 313.51$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Nakashima | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Kym | 24c | 304$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.94 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…34bcbacked Kym | 26c | 301.92$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.52 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +62%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Nakashima | 74c | 300$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Kym | 39c | 296.04$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.35 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…06a2backed Nakashima | 53c | 290$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.7 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Nakashima | 74c | 269$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.06 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Kym | 37c | 265.95$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.84 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kym | 32c | 255.79$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.27 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Nakashima | 35c | 231.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Kym | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 85 | 22.4%19 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nakashima | 51c | 185.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Kym | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…5897backed Nakashima | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa263…6cf0backed Nakashima | 41c | 170.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.02 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nakashima | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Kym | 27c | 150$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Kym | 27c | 147.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.63 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Kym | 34c | 143.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.97 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Nakashima | 58c | 143$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.94 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…19e8backed Nakashima | 80c | 110.69$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.55 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…ea3dbacked Nakashima | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0d…786fbacked Nakashima | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.1 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Nakashima | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Nakashima | 78c | 64.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Nakashima | 76c | 63.26$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 103 | 72.8%75 W · 28 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Nakashima | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Kym | 22c | 59.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ab…3699backed Nakashima | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b8…da98backed Nakashima | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3606…9bd2backed Nakashima | 80c | 41.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Kym | 39c | 41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21cd…e7aabacked Kym | 27c | 40.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x163c…2af1backed Nakashima | 76c | 28.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Nakashima | 71c | 28.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4045…3307backed Nakashima | 60c | 26.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4610…0ccabacked Nakashima | 79c | 26.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2659…d77ebacked Nakashima | 79c | 24.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc752…1f6cbacked Nakashima | 76c | 21.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf72…a255backed Nakashima | 61c | 17.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a73…8b3bbacked Nakashima | 75c | 16.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…f7a9backed Nakashima | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1f…41b7backed Nakashima | 76c | 15.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae0…c81abacked Nakashima | 76c | 15.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b8…9db4backed Nakashima | 75c | 14.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.