Tennis · resolved market
Six Kings Slam: Zverev vs Fritz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c07930ab42c112dc7a7f2370f8c88dd46d55d6b20f135a2e3f45265d8e20b2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fritzof Zverev, Fritz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Zverev | 34c | 5,599$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.34 | 139 | 34.5%48 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Fritz | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.3 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Zverev | 25c | 1,677$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Fritz | 63c | 1,172$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.62 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Fritz | 64c | 1,151$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.34 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df5…b34abacked Fritz | 66c | 1,083$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.33 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3b99backed Zverev | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Fritz | 66c | 975.33$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.97 | 324 | 48.1%156 W · 168 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae87…e848backed Fritz | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd941…bc46backed Zverev | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Zverev | 34c | 400$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Zverev | 37c | 301.72$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Fritz | 63c | 181.56$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.18 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Fritz | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Zverev | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Zverev | 35c | 120.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…5897backed Zverev | 36c | 113.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Fritz | 67c | 105$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 236 | 70.8%167 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Zverev | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd843…7d56backed Zverev | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Fritz | 61c | 97.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.66 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Zverev | 19c | 95.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1aa…6ed0backed Zverev | 37c | 89.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Zverev | 36c | 85.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3064…8943backed Fritz | 66c | 81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Zverev | 37c | 80.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Fritz | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe86e…8642backed Zverev | 23c | 64.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Zverev | 38c | 60.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 415 | 44.3%184 W · 231 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…7f8bbacked Zverev | 27c | 54.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Zverev | 37c | 53.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2d…82f1backed Fritz | 66c | 50.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Zverev | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc36a…be63backed Fritz | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Fritz | 66c | 48.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd798…9338backed Fritz | 64c | 34.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Fritz | 67c | 34.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Zverev | 33c | 34.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fc…aff9backed Fritz | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b66…c6f5backed Fritz | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…43f3backed Fritz | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f4…df5dbacked Zverev | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Fritz | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…e758backed Fritz | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.