Tennis · resolved market
Will Novak Djokovic win a Major in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68a1e8742eed6df9a9c5f6caf90a6aae13cea9a72c49f19e946179ff9ce5223a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fbf…f580backed Yes | 0c | 26,591$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.01 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 16c | 9,101$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.8 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 7,106$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.86 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 2c | 6,108$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…a926backed Yes | 6c | 4,586$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.16 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Yes | 16c | 2,796$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.21 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3124…014bbacked Yes | 14c | 1,988$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.18 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes | 42c | 1,182$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 19c | 780.78$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.85 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…5897backed Yes | 8c | 635.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…fd58backed Yes | 24c | 595.11$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -65%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 20c | 498.52$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f1…b5ddbacked Yes | 10c | 455.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Yes | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ec…6c4fbacked Yes | 18c | 408.81$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…4a93backed No | 70c | 330$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +59%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38eb…5257backed Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b94…d5bbbacked Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc561…fa80backed No | 66c | 299.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x719c…8839backed Yes | 18c | 280.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbba…d41ebacked Yes | 8c | 256.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 75c | 251$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.78 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa13…9c9abacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4f…cb79backed Yes | 16c | 244.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd3…c80fbacked Yes | 9c | 233.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2472…65d2backed Yes | 21c | 224.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97d8…0cbabacked Yes | 22c | 223.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce13…5467backed Yes | 18c | 215$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfd…a1dbbacked Yes | 14c | 212.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8810…0e4dbacked Yes | 10c | 209.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba9…1eaebacked Yes | 15c | 195.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 13c | 195.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 11c | 186$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec2f…43a2backed Yes | 6c | 185.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37bc…2a7bbacked Yes | 20c | 147.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7794…8df9backed Yes | 26c | 136.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Yes | 17c | 116.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 12c | 113.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…c6c4backed No | 79c | 113.1$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0749…ce93backed Yes | 31c | 103.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55bf…e2ddbacked Yes | 26c | 101$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6b…d4d8backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2d…f0d4backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c59…ae3fbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…55bcbacked Yes | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…1e6dbacked Yes | 23c | 96.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 12c | 96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x709a…122ebacked Yes | 19c | 81.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -73%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee49…155ebacked Yes | 13c | 80.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8161…e08ebacked Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x867e…20c8backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8937…aed9backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43eb…49febacked Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed Yes | 17c | 69.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 76c | 52.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac8…3b3dbacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd8…6388backed Yes | 26c | 43.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 57c | 36.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3f…994fbacked No | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.