Tennis · resolved market
US Open: Cameron Norrie vs Sebastian Korda
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd60130b0d07f7f358cb1a9ccd128f5394b208a8ec3d14815f7a9028b7df39ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Norrieof Norrie, Korda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ccb…0a10backed Korda | 63c | 11,695$7,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,367.73 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Korda | 12c | 7,679$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.9 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Norrie | 47c | 6,413$2,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,419.04 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Norrie | 37c | 6,290$2,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,971.55 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Korda | 53c | 5,333$2,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,826.26 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Korda | 64c | 5,000$3,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,191.96 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed Norrie | 36c | 3,905$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.2 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Norrie | 37c | 2,173$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.17 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Korda | 65c | 1,826$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.11 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Norrie | 37c | 1,551$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.94 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…63d8backed Norrie | 43c | 1,400$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Norrie | 37c | 1,344$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.41 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Norrie | 35c | 1,016$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.61 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Korda | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.55 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +9.2wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +2,177.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Norrie | 40c | 722.19$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.36 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Korda | 43c | 693.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Korda | 63c | 644.76$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.5 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Korda | 16c | 510$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 119 | 27.7%33 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf950…81d1backed Korda | 10c | 481.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Norrie | 38c | 467$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.59 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Korda | 53c | 443.03$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.01 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…19e8backed Norrie | 37c | 415.15$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.99 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Korda | 56c | 409.86$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.04 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Norrie | 34c | 400$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Korda | 26c | 365.06$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.72 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked Korda | 52c | 303.79$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Korda | 66c | 303.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Korda | 19c | 295$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.97 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Norrie | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Norrie | 41c | 244.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.15 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Norrie | 38c | 236.76$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.79 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Korda | 60c | 233.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Norrie | 42c | 210$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b2…273bbacked Korda | 43c | 185$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.46 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Korda | 53c | 178$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.34 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…ea3dbacked Norrie | 79c | 175$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Korda | 47c | 155$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.25 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Korda | 28c | 148.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca1…4268backed Norrie | 36c | 141.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.08 | 155 | 31.6%49 W · 106 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Norrie | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Norrie | 75c | 133.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Korda | 35c | 131.47$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Korda | 36c | 121.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…5897backed Norrie | 43c | 116.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Norrie | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 26cpaid | -77%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Norrie | 41c | 96.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…2937backed Korda | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Korda | 64c | 88.31$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Korda | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Korda | 57c | 69.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 157 | 24.8%39 W · 118 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…5228backed Norrie | 73c | 68.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Norrie | 38c | 65.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.11 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Korda | 61c | 65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Korda | 65c | 63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Norrie | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 512 | 43%220 W · 292 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…6519backed Korda | 62c | 49.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…f067backed Korda | 64c | 48.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Korda | 62c | 39.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Korda | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -35%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…9809backed Korda | 67c | 23.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x471a…e242backed Korda | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.