MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe874d6aea02c1f19686101417bdde68e3f85b4d94331a9652db1704401953645
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Mariners, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $332,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $330,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $332,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Guardians | 43c | 256,209$109,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147,018.02 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Mariners | 57c | 82,250$46,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,882.5 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mariners | 57c | 66,249$38,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,061.04 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Mariners | 58c | 36,000$20,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,879.99 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mariners | 52c | 20,181$10,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,585.83 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners | 57c | 17,233$9,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,823.1 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Mariners | 69c | 13,187$9,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,056.78 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mariners | 57c | 12,716$7,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,301.5 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mariners | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Guardians | 29c | 8,777$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,275.44 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…b93bbacked Mariners | 58c | 8,000$4,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,640 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Mariners | 57c | 7,500$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 45c | 5,745$2,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,159.63 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 58c | 5,396$3,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,148.97 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Guardians | 43c | 5,124$2,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,901.46 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Mariners | 59c | 3,343$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.55 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Guardians | 42c | 3,009$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.45 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Guardians | 62c | 2,895$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.1 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Mariners | 55c | 2,749$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.01 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Guardians | 42c | 2,646$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.71 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Mariners | 58c | 2,600$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Guardians | 34c | 2,145$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.92 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Guardians | 40c | 1,953$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.93 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Mariners | 58c | 1,900$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Guardians | 42c | 1,896$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.68 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…aac8backed Mariners | 13c | 1,862$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Mariners | 61c | 1,693$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.09 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners | 52c | 1,540$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.78 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aec…0f2dbacked Guardians | 43c | 1,220$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Guardians | 41c | 1,150$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.5 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Mariners | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Guardians | 43c | 999.98$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Guardians | 42c | 952.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.38 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Mariners | 58c | 750$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Guardians | 41c | 750$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.5 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Guardians | 44c | 681$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.36 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Guardians | 41c | 559.22$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.94 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Guardians | 44c | 522$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.32 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Guardians | 41c | 521$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.39 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Mariners | 34c | 519.78$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.4 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed Mariners | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Mariners | 10c | 491.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Guardians | 44c | 417$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.45 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bf…2ab3backed Mariners | 60c | 415.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.81 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Mariners | 13c | 398.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Guardians | 41c | 363.39$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.4 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Mariners | 56c | 357.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Guardians | 43c | 349.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.49 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Mariners | 58c | 348$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.84 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Mariners | 60c | 331.82$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.65 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Mariners | 60c | 327.33$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.4 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Mariners | 56c | 316.4$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.45 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Mariners | 56c | 299.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.99 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Guardians | 43c | 299.97$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…d68cbacked Mariners | 55c | 279.27$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Mariners | 58c | 260$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4201…f6edbacked Mariners | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Guardians | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Guardians | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Guardians | 43c | 235$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.95 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Guardians | 43c | 231.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.24 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Guardians | 79c | 218.66$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Guardians | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Mariners | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Guardians | 42c | 194.22$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.65 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Guardians | 43c | 176.74$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.74 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Mariners | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mariners | 13c | 163.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Mariners | 43c | 156.3$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Mariners | 25c | 150$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Guardians | 41c | 132$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4b…d004backed Mariners | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Guardians | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Mariners | 57c | 115$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Guardians | 45c | 111$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mariners | 22c | 110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Mariners | 41c | 109.46$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 356 | 52.5%187 W · 169 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Guardians | 68c | 105$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…c622backed Mariners | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Guardians | 44c | 98.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mariners | 39c | 95.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Guardians | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33b9…ed3abacked Mariners | 25c | 88.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Mariners | 51c | 88.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Guardians | 42c | 86.62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Guardians | 43c | 77.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mariners | 58c | 67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a7…cac6backed Mariners | 59c | 61.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Guardians | 44c | 59.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Mariners | 58c | 55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Mariners | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Guardians | 30c | 48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Guardians | 43c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…9d3bbacked Guardians | 46c | 37.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Guardians | 42c | 35.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4389…d9f3backed Mariners | 57c | 35.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Mariners | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…c0edbacked Guardians | 43c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 337 | 50.4%170 W · 167 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Guardians | 42c | 31.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Guardians | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mariners vs. Guardiansthis page
- Mariners vs. Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.