College Football · resolved market
Utah vs. UCLA
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x491f6abf6cda01cdceedfc4292def6ab72d1bc94f11f5810601ba2e3c97ec1c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utahof Utah, UCLA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked UCLA | 33c | 10,856$3,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,560.65 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Utah | 67c | 8,503$5,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,815.76 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed UCLA | 11c | 8,424$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.84 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Utah | 72c | 6,496$4,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.02 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Utah | 67c | 6,000$4,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed UCLA | 11c | 3,276$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked UCLA | 33c | 3,116$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.24 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6227…18dabacked UCLA | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed UCLA | 24c | 2,191$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.01 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked UCLA | 32c | 2,156$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.65 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked UCLA | 33c | 1,472$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.76 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked UCLA | 32c | 1,399$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.26 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked UCLA | 33c | 1,350$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.5 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Utah | 66c | 1,204$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.47 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed UCLA | 30c | 1,057$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.72 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed UCLA | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed UCLA | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked UCLA | 23c | 589.19$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.51 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9406…9071backed UCLA | 26c | 530.32$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.33 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed UCLA | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed UCLA | 11c | 481$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.91 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…d904backed UCLA | 9c | 450$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked UCLA | 20c | 419.38$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Utah | 66c | 407.74$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.63 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked UCLA | 11c | 378.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Utah | 68c | 322.06$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.06 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked UCLA | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed UCLA | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Utah | 68c | 221.4$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked UCLA | 26c | 202.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Utah | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked UCLA | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed UCLA | 32c | 163.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7b…6e6dbacked UCLA | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked UCLA | 34c | 145$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91a7…cac6backed UCLA | 27c | 129.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 53cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…95f3backed Utah | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 75cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9355…eab4backed Utah | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked UCLA | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked UCLA | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed UCLA | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Utah | 70c | 91.43$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed UCLA | 34c | 83.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed UCLA | 25c | 79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Utah | 70c | 48.23$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 80 | 78.8%63 W · 17 L | +9.9wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Utah | 75c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Utah | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…5b12backed Utah | 67c | 29.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.