MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x520cbbe37ecac1fda023679596b523eb182adba45eda5b2bd619c04190e5ecc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metsof Phillies, Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $285,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $334,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 343 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Phillies | 42c | 96,639$40,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,507.19 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Mets | 58c | 40,000$23,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,800 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Mets | 58c | 39,600$22,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,632 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Mets | 74c | 18,714$13,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,937.35 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Phillies | 3c | 12,001$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.55 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Mets | 58c | 12,000$6,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Phillies | 42c | 9,783$4,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,109 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Mets | 59c | 9,640$5,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,952.4 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Phillies | 19c | 7,770$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.71 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Phillies | 43c | 7,442$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Mets | 58c | 7,438$4,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,146.11 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Mets | 57c | 6,532$3,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,780.52 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mets | 59c | 5,154$3,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,128.5 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets | 59c | 4,672$2,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916.02 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Phillies | 39c | 4,045$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.09 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Mets | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Phillies | 41c | 2,199$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.6 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Phillies | 37c | 2,143$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.86 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Phillies | 24c | 1,959$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.18 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Phillies | 39c | 1,931$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.68 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Mets | 58c | 1,905$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.23 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Phillies | 25c | 1,727$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.77 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Phillies | 43c | 1,616$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.56 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x350d…a3d2backed Phillies | 41c | 1,414$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.74 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Phillies | 44c | 1,337$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.33 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Phillies | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…c260backed Mets | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff4…5a2dbacked Phillies | 42c | 1,031$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e78…a38cbacked Phillies | 42c | 1,019$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa737…e0a5backed Mets | 58c | 1,016$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Phillies | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Phillies | 3c | 930.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mets | 56c | 837.12$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.33 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Phillies | 43c | 794.02$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.9 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Phillies | 42c | 714$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Mets | 58c | 615$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.3 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Phillies | 41c | 518.91$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.75 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Phillies | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…baefbacked Phillies | 43c | 495.5$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mets | 69c | 489.92$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.16 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Phillies | 42c | 476.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mets | 57c | 461.52$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.45 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Phillies | 41c | 458.26$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mets | 57c | 431.79$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.67 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Mets | 58c | 408$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.36 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…41b3backed Phillies | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Phillies | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…cc9abacked Phillies | 6c | 374.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Phillies | 40c | 363.63$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.45 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Phillies | 38c | 348.58$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.56 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Phillies | 42c | 346.95$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.55 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Mets | 59c | 340$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.4 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Phillies | 42c | 331.45$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.81 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Phillies | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Phillies | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Phillies | 40c | 299.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Mets | 58c | 284.38$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.44 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe878…2143backed Mets | 59c | 275.03$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 60cpaid | -50%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phillies | 26c | 272.57$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Phillies | 43c | 234.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Phillies | 12c | 223$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Phillies | 42c | 219.1$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.02 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe920…e742backed Mets | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Phillies | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…2759backed Phillies | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed Mets | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…211fbacked Phillies | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…afbbbacked Mets | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…a6a9backed Mets | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…b9eabacked Phillies | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3236…8f9ebacked Mets | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…a273backed Phillies | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc94…72debacked Mets | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…729cbacked Mets | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…8340backed Mets | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…3b86backed Mets | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb290…27c5backed Phillies | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…c850backed Mets | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…cdf1backed Phillies | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28fe…620bbacked Mets | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb523…0d72backed Phillies | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb340…6b02backed Mets | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…220bbacked Phillies | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…31d4backed Mets | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…f12bbacked Phillies | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…ed7bbacked Phillies | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2916…bb5bbacked Phillies | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3b…b5bdbacked Phillies | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40a0…a1c0backed Phillies | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf50e…b539backed Phillies | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c6…ce67backed Phillies | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab5…dce6backed Phillies | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9459…e52bbacked Mets | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe91a…5145backed Phillies | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf01…0439backed Phillies | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…5d65backed Phillies | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ce…215fbacked Phillies | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…050cbacked Phillies | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b1…9335backed Phillies | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phillies vs. Metsthis page
- Phillies vs. Mets: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.