NFL · resolved market
Jets vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b244f7a9396a6374119f9b162b37a3f6da963bcb93462ffbcc9cf23916fcce2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giants of Jets , Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Jets | 37c | 6,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Giants | 63c | 5,950$3,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.5 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Giants | 67c | 2,927$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.54 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Jets | 2c | 1,142$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Jets | 37c | 1,070$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Jets | 35c | 1,033$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Giants | 63c | 1,007$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.99 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Jets | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Giants | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Jets | 35c | 740.17$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.38 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Giants | 63c | 599.99$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +12.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Jets | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Giants | 74c | 411.76$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.06 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Jets | 35c | 407.13$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 121 | 33.9%41 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Jets | 40c | 375.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…56d0backed Giants | 63c | 311.77$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Giants | 66c | 295$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.85 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Jets | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Jets | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Jets | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Giants | 65c | 249.65$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.39 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Jets | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Giants | 59c | 243.9$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Jets | 35c | 199.53$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Jets | 35c | 175.08$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.21 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Jets | 7c | 154$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Giants | 67c | 146.27$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.27 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfef0…1282backed Giants | 64c | 140.68$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…95f3backed Giants | 76c | 131.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…32bbbacked Giants | 67c | 130$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 148 | 60.8%90 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Giants | 66c | 125.04$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.91 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Jets | 36c | 122.56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a7…cac6backed Giants | 63c | 111.54$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Jets | 44c | 101.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Giants | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Jets | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Jets | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Jets | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Jets | 24c | 94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Giants | 62c | 78.09$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0d…ddd7backed Jets | 30c | 67.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…cd54backed Jets | 37c | 62.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…1c7bbacked Jets | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Jets | 38c | 52.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…e199backed Giants | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Giants | 71c | 45.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Jets | 28c | 44.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Jets | 26c | 41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf43…b321backed Jets | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked Jets | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 170 | 60.6%103 W · 67 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Jets | 35c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 207 | 60.9%126 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Giants | 63c | 31.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc302…d641backed Giants | 75c | 30.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Giants | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Giants | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Giants | 59c | 26.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.