MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bf287cc4d95f4c5ae8cdb43c50782089f034c9bdaa8c10c003959f327d16a97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metsof Phillies, Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $702,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $702,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $702,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 437 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Mets | 51c | 387,287$197,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190,215.82 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Phillies | 49c | 140,000$68,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,600 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 49c | 68,927$33,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,968.98 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Phillies | 49c | 55,418$27,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,154.8 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Phillies | 49c | 40,800$19,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,992 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Phillies | 50c | 35,441$17,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,797.06 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Phillies | 49c | 28,000$13,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,820 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Mets | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,500 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 39c | 22,643$8,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,725.39 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Mets | 49c | 12,450$6,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,349.5 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Mets | 63c | 9,927$6,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,655.88 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Mets | 51c | 9,880$5,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,841.08 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Phillies | 47c | 9,692$4,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,520.85 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Phillies | 49c | 8,804$4,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,314 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Mets | 79c | 8,000$6,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Phillies | 50c | 7,500$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Mets | 51c | 7,418$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,617.49 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Phillies | 34c | 5,000$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.88 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Phillies | 44c | 4,546$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb06…0e51backed Phillies | 56c | 4,320$2,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,418.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5270…51e1backed Mets | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…3386backed Phillies | 42c | 4,000$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.45 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mets | 62c | 3,823$2,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.57 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f7…57adbacked Mets | 48c | 3,400$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 50c | 3,303$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.35 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…ed49backed Phillies | 52c | 2,700$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Mets | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Phillies | 50c | 2,594$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Phillies | 20c | 2,558$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Phillies | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2055…aee1backed Phillies | 52c | 2,400$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3c…946cbacked Phillies | 52c | 2,300$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Phillies | 49c | 2,222$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.78 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Mets | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phillies | 39c | 1,741$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.87 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Mets | 49c | 1,694$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.14 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Mets | 48c | 1,563$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.76 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Phillies | 50c | 1,464$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.63 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Phillies | 34c | 1,418$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.19 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Phillies | 50c | 1,396$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.25 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…50fabacked Phillies | 56c | 1,323$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Mets | 51c | 1,267$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.7 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Mets | 50c | 1,243$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.73 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6b…c3dabacked Mets | 48c | 1,202$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Phillies | 49c | 1,164$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.72 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cd…d0b5backed Phillies | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.08 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Phillies | 52c | 1,151$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.52 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d3…20e3backed Phillies | 52c | 1,146$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Mets | 79c | 1,137$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.11 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Mets | 53c | 1,124$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.29 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Mets | 51c | 1,105$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.45 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6d…df6abacked Mets | 48c | 1,098$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.96 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Phillies | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Phillies | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Phillies | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Mets | 48c | 977.47$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.28 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Mets | 49c | 899.57$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.96 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Phillies | 42c | 881.11$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.61 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Phillies | 50c | 815$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.56 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Phillies | 50c | 806$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Mets | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 667 | 48.7%325 W · 342 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Mets | 70c | 772.2$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.2 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Phillies | 36c | 760.9$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.78 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked Phillies | 50c | 680$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…95f3backed Mets | 75c | 669.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.33 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Phillies | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Phillies | 42c | 526.3$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.99 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…2f6bbacked Phillies | 11c | 522.82$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.21 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Phillies | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c39…b7a6backed Phillies | 50c | 499.34$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.67 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Mets | 48c | 483.6$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.47 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Phillies | 51c | 470.59$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Mets | 52c | 440.82$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.78 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mets | 49c | 422$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.22 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Mets | 49c | 409.97$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.08 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Mets | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Phillies | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Phillies | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Phillies | 49c | 367.35$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Mets | 51c | 354$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.96 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaade…71f1backed Phillies | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Mets | 48c | 314.98$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.79 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Phillies | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Phillies | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mets | 48c | 299.98$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Phillies | 49c | 299.97$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Mets | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Phillies | 22c | 283$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.08 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…baefbacked Phillies | 40c | 280.69$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Mets | 51c | 257$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.93 | 1,055 | 50.3%531 W · 524 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Phillies | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2659…d77ebacked Mets | 79c | 239.45$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.18 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Phillies | 50c | 228$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Mets | 51c | 220$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.4 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Mets | 49c | 214.29$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.29 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Phillies | 50c | 213$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.46 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Phillies | 50c | 208$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Phillies | 50c | 205.5$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.7 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Phillies | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Phillies | 11c | 201.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phillies vs. Metsthis page
- Phillies vs. Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Phillies (-1.5)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.