NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x547b2215d4f994e9a7f861d4a6c6933346d5445cf35812b37ccf7f18daa668ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Golden Knights, Avalanche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $154,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 665 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Avalanche | 28c | 9,627$2,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,934.74 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Avalanche | 36c | 7,534$2,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,821.99 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Golden Knights | 63c | 7,066$4,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,427.1 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Avalanche | 39c | 5,353$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,243.71 | 427 | 51.1%218 W · 209 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Golden Knights | 43c | 5,154$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.91 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…8e31backed Golden Knights | 51c | 3,126$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…f91cbacked Avalanche | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Avalanche | 31c | 2,736$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.93 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Avalanche | 57c | 2,590$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.57 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Golden Knights | 44c | 2,543$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.53 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche | 60c | 2,375$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.01 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Avalanche | 58c | 2,306$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.52 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Golden Knights | 41c | 2,174$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.59 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed Golden Knights | 1c | 1,800$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Avalanche | 8c | 1,800$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.99 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f17…c521backed Avalanche | 56c | 1,607$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Avalanche | 60c | 1,505$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.63 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…56d0backed Avalanche | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.98 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…1715backed Golden Knights | 45c | 1,475$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.75 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Golden Knights | 49c | 1,463$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.61 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x416a…fd6cbacked Golden Knights | 43c | 1,304$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.59 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Avalanche | 55c | 1,270$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Avalanche | 38c | 1,148$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.27 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Golden Knights | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Avalanche | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Golden Knights | 59c | 896.62$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.01 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Golden Knights | 47c | 800$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Golden Knights | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Golden Knights | 69c | 722.71$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Avalanche | 41c | 702.68$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.58 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Golden Knights | 42c | 572$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.24 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Avalanche | 41c | 552.61$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.04 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…affbbacked Avalanche | 64c | 546.88$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Avalanche | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Avalanche | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Golden Knights | 41c | 496.14$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.43 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Golden Knights | 40c | 494$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Golden Knights | 40c | 483$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Avalanche | 61c | 456.07$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.87 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Golden Knights | 44c | 450$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Golden Knights | 41c | 450$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -25%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Avalanche | 55c | 443.93$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.77 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Golden Knights | 74c | 441.82$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.07 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Avalanche | 56c | 439.98$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.59 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Avalanche | 63c | 412.5$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b39…aed5backed Golden Knights | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f4…d0e7backed Avalanche | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Avalanche | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Avalanche | 56c | 348$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.12 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ad…48d1backed Avalanche | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Golden Knights | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Golden Knights | 48c | 275$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Golden Knights | 43c | 269.41$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.85 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…7d6bbacked Avalanche | 56c | 265.54$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.54 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Avalanche | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Avalanche | 11c | 222.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.38 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d5…709bbacked Golden Knights | 52c | 219.17$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3e…c572backed Golden Knights | 41c | 210.02$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa929…1baabacked Avalanche | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fb…fb2cbacked Avalanche | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d8…ddfcbacked Avalanche | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac41…21b2backed Golden Knights | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…61febacked Avalanche | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc67c…f843backed Avalanche | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc234…74b2backed Avalanche | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x929d…1176backed Golden Knights | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cd…fb96backed Avalanche | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bc…53f2backed Golden Knights | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…fdb3backed Avalanche | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe920…7289backed Avalanche | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…0932backed Avalanche | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe413…7760backed Avalanche | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb709…3b5cbacked Avalanche | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bad…4f8dbacked Avalanche | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…31e9backed Avalanche | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…384ebacked Golden Knights | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d82…f177backed Avalanche | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5000…b74abacked Avalanche | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…d0aabacked Golden Knights | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…4f35backed Avalanche | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c5…57a3backed Avalanche | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x352f…c76cbacked Golden Knights | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe73…265dbacked Avalanche | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…1b99backed Avalanche | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cf…4c54backed Avalanche | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d5…8aedbacked Avalanche | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb8…fa6cbacked Avalanche | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e3…59fabacked Avalanche | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…fd96backed Golden Knights | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 60cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…e036backed Golden Knights | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…e8bdbacked Avalanche | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…54f7backed Avalanche | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb53b…3f0bbacked Avalanche | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…09f0backed Avalanche | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb086…bfb4backed Avalanche | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x177f…7c0ebacked Avalanche | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc55a…bdfebacked Golden Knights | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e94…54f5backed Avalanche | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…1a93backed Golden Knights | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57f3…f1fabacked Avalanche | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.