TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Flyers vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Flyersof Flyers, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,983
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,045

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,983 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe32e…890bbacked Flyers37c33,777$12,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,215.136242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Rangers63c12,000$7,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,529.9413845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Rangers64c8,000$5,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1204763.8%30 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb377…f621backed Rangers63c7,700$4,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,850.78955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Flyers36c6,856$2,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,387.9716645.8%76 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Rangers63c3,674$2,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,327.2627958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed Flyers39c3,650$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2335534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers26c3,048$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.623,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Flyers36c2,894$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,851.7330549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Rangers63c2,398$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,503.6384051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Rangers62c2,193$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.5449351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Rangers62c2,095$1,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,306.571,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Rangers62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers63c1,710$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.0592848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Rangers63c1,587$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015261.8%94 W · 58 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Rangers62c1,482$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.697361.6%45 W · 28 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x45d7…1935backed Flyers38c1,316$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.796450%32 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Rangers62c1,191$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.331,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c2…7fe7backed Rangers63c1,190$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Rangers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Rangers15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507634.2%26 W · 50 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Rangers64c1,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Flyers56c901.87$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.021,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1734…ddd4backed Rangers63c440$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.29064.4%58 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Rangers64c423.94$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.324067.5%27 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Rangers66c401.93$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.2785464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e26…1715backed Rangers64c401$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.642157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x307e…2a3ebacked Flyers38c385$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.7580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+73%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3cc9…56d0backed Flyers36c359.94$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.364242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Rangers62c326.43$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.3829748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8896…7d78backed Rangers65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007071.4%50 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Flyers36c299.89$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.9320649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7b2…e55abacked Flyers38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.16728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-38.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa33f…c25ebacked Flyers38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.164163.4%26 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f6f…ea97backed Flyers38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.16966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+44.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Rangers64c256.81$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.368052.5%42 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Rangers62c251.27$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.031,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8554…c28dbacked Rangers63c250$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.51833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-39.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Rangers62c249.1$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.3337738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Rangers63c222$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8650857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd33b…4e00backed Flyers38c210.53$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.5315246.7%71 W · 81 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f0f…5f89backed Rangers63c206.35$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Rangers64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12850049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d74…2ff4backed Rangers63c193.65$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12250%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9448…be98backed Rangers70c170.29$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12015470.1%108 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Flyers40c162.4$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.1891334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x308d…2abcbacked Rangers63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9e…547dbacked Flyers63c150$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.52759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x201f…b17cbacked Flyers37c141.35$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.05771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+40.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9711…59a2backed Flyers38c136.84$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.841250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed02…8d83backed Flyers38c136.08$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.37450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fae…8e64backed Flyers37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.142857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4d…1b43backed Rangers63c135$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.051118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.8wins-0.35per pick53cpaid-65.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd02a…c712backed Flyers37c129.98$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3938744.2%171 W · 216 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b1f…2bebbacked Flyers38c126.32$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+174.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddd5…c479backed Rangers62c119$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e42…98b3backed Flyers38c119$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x533b…e1a3backed Rangers62c119$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c5a…a7b8backed Flyers38c119$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22a5…2fabbacked Rangers62c119$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7b4…cb1fbacked Flyers38c119$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41f…2123backed Flyers38c116$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5af…7358backed Rangers62c116$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5db6…79f8backed Rangers62c115$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x174f…dfe7backed Flyers38c115$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…75abbacked Rangers62c115$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3221…8e10backed Flyers38c115$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e00…1560backed Flyers38c114$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd314…65e6backed Rangers62c114$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x834e…0635backed Rangers62c114$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3e9…2cf8backed Flyers38c114$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb54c…f384backed Rangers62c113$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ac4…5603backed Flyers38c113$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe97d…6109backed Flyers37c112$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x854a…04e5backed Rangers63c112$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7ac…194abacked Flyers38c112$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26be…c8eebacked Rangers62c112$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc14c…84cebacked Rangers62c112$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5421…5760backed Flyers38c112$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6624…b92ebacked Flyers38c107$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b14…4d83backed Rangers62c107$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ced…9ebfbacked Flyers38c106$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8094…923cbacked Flyers38c106$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5e0…a4d7backed Flyers38c106$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06c1…a980backed Rangers62c106$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda9f…0208backed Rangers62c106$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea5e…8f5fbacked Rangers62c106$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc739…bff3backed Rangers62c101$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42d8…abd9backed Flyers37c101$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+35.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x732f…cc94backed Rangers63c101$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x79c4…2eefbacked Flyers38c101$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7381…5b63backed Flyers37c100.13$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1360042.8%257 W · 343 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36db…9fd7backed Rangers63c100.01$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7611751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Rangers63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6335154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86dc…94a1backed Flyers40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Flyers37c99.96$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9781846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe0d2…98edbacked Flyers38c99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40b7…fb4cbacked Rangers62c99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8244…7a11backed Rangers60c98.33$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.