WNBA · resolved market
Liberty vs Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe4249769c6a0a49f3c061e470caccb48af8705b37fac149320a053a237bb5f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Libertyof Liberty, Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Liberty | 80c | 51,543$40,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,546.61 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Wings | 19c | 20,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wings | 19c | 8,373$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.37 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wings | 16c | 6,617$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.2 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc567…04bfbacked Wings | 18c | 5,711$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Wings | 1c | 3,662$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 62 | 4.8%3 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wings | 23c | 3,564$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.71 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Wings | 17c | 3,163$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.06 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Wings | 5c | 3,000$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.36 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Wings | 21c | 2,732$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.33 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Wings | 21c | 2,471$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Wings | 23c | 2,415$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.26 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…df96backed Wings | 23c | 2,400$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wings | 21c | 1,875$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.84 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Wings | 15c | 1,791$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Wings | 25c | 1,633$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.56 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Wings | 21c | 1,596$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.14 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wings | 20c | 1,593$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.87 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Wings | 19c | 1,487$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.36 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Wings | 19c | 1,475$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.68 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Liberty | 79c | 1,323$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.03 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73c8…5efebacked Liberty | 77c | 1,300$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Wings | 22c | 1,268$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.82 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…e5e9backed Liberty | 77c | 1,200$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc041…3becbacked Wings | 23c | 1,100$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…c079backed Liberty | 77c | 1,100$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Liberty | 76c | 1,100$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.92 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Wings | 13c | 1,053$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.91 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Wings | 25c | 1,031$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.56 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Wings | 10c | 997.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.79 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Wings | 20c | 931$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.16 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…c0f2backed Wings | 23c | 900$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Wings | 13c | 900$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.85 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Liberty | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…ab0abacked Liberty | 77c | 800$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73e…9e1bbacked Liberty | 75c | 750$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wings | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Wings | 23c | 521.12$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.86 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Liberty | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Wings | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f1…9434backed Wings | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccbf…dce5backed Wings | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Liberty | 75c | 400.63$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wings | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wings | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Wings | 20c | 299.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Wings | 22c | 284$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Wings | 22c | 272$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc22…ee03backed Liberty | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Liberty | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Wings | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Wings | 22c | 199.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ac…091ebacked Liberty | 78c | 130$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Liberty | 76c | 86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa348…e205backed Liberty | 75c | 82.66$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +130.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0704…6ab8backed Liberty | 76c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Wings | 22c | 68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Wings | 25c | 68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…4979backed Liberty | 77c | 62.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba4…8964backed Wings | 25c | 62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Wings | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Wings | 17c | 58.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Wings | 24c | 57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5228…a54abacked Wings | 25c | 56.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8755…9d5cbacked Wings | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…56d0backed Liberty | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd4…e888backed Liberty | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ff…1eb6backed Liberty | 77c | 25.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…c5ecbacked Liberty | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…5eb3backed Liberty | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Liberty | 78c | 16.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf71…d7adbacked Liberty | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x259c…a64cbacked Liberty | 78c | 13.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.