MLB · resolved market
Rockies vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf1185264859e6967d97252b270079620a228fd70027ba5c8d5d1ed5048c3c27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Rockies, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $291,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $324,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa0b…4908backed Pirates | 73c | 140,000$102,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,800 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Rockies | 27c | 52,009$14,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,042.32 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Rockies | 27c | 50,000$13,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,499.99 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Rockies | 27c | 35,555$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,599.85 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Pirates | 74c | 23,250$17,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,081.99 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rockies | 26c | 15,671$4,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,025.53 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Pirates | 74c | 12,049$8,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,124.63 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Rockies | 28c | 10,722$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,002.19 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Rockies | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Rockies | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.97 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Pirates | 72c | 9,247$6,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,589.14 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Rockies | 27c | 7,620$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060.16 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd61c…5953backed Rockies | 25c | 5,100$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 75c | 3,376$2,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.62 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rockies | 24c | 3,217$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.16 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…ba05backed Pirates | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Rockies | 28c | 2,036$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Pirates | 74c | 2,027$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.02 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rockies | 3c | 2,012$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Rockies | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…40cdbacked Rockies | 26c | 1,970$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.1 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b8…b745backed Pirates | 75c | 1,900$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Rockies | 25c | 1,900$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Pirates | 75c | 1,765$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.35 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Pirates | 74c | 1,764$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.51 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rockies | 26c | 1,699$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.83 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rockies | 20c | 1,600$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Pirates | 73c | 1,379$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.39 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Pirates | 73c | 1,356$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.17 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rockies | 26c | 1,350$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.33 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Pirates | 72c | 1,325$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Rockies | 38c | 1,317$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Pirates | 74c | 1,050$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.5 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b63…d2cfbacked Pirates | 75c | 1,046$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.61 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Rockies | 1c | 965.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Pirates | 74c | 932.69$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.69 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Pirates | 74c | 926.01$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.76 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rockies | 25c | 899.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Pirates | 75c | 898.63$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.66 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Pirates | 75c | 870.67$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.88 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Rockies | 26c | 824.15$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.28 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…b1e3backed Rockies | 26c | 676$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.76 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8b…23d2backed Pirates | 74c | 606.08$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.58 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfa…b7b1backed Pirates | 75c | 594.38$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.17 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -11.5wins | -0.31per pick | 58cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates | 79c | 559.83$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.08 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…776cbacked Pirates | 75c | 529.44$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.36 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Rockies | 2c | 517.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Pirates | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Rockies | 24c | 457.14$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Rockies | 19c | 447.69$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.55 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pirates | 76c | 443.29$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.45 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe07c…551dbacked Pirates | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Pirates | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Rockies | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rockies | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pirates | 70c | 315$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Rockies | 27c | 311.09$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pirates | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Rockies | 26c | 244.49$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.57 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…08d1backed Rockies | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Pirates | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rockies | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Rockies | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x834b…a37ebacked Pirates | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Pirates | 73c | 191.78$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.78 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Rockies | 25c | 188$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Rockies | 27c | 165$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Pirates | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pirates | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pirates | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Pirates | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeae7…1884backed Pirates | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…ca89backed Rockies | 27c | 129$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 235 | 43.4%102 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Rockies | 30c | 125$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rockies | 26c | 121$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Rockies | 12c | 116.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 547 | 40.2%220 W · 327 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…12fabacked Rockies | 28c | 110.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -15.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Rockies | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Pirates | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd84a…a23dbacked Pirates | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1a…5832backed Pirates | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8d…e930backed Pirates | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ca…1365backed Rockies | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Rockies | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Rockies | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ff…ef2dbacked Rockies | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…0671backed Rockies | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0920…4534backed Rockies | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa0…bcd6backed Rockies | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcae…709bbacked Pirates | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83e7…4c9fbacked Pirates | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Pirates | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Pirates | 77c | 97.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Pirates | 75c | 96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Pirates | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Pirates | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,396 | 55.2%770 W · 626 L | -28.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Pirates | 74c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40f0…a193backed Pirates | 75c | 72.37$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Pirates | 75c | 68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75b2…8d2ebacked Pirates | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockies vs. Piratesthis page
- Spread: Pirates (-2.5)Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.