Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United beat Liverpool?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f69c362da4dddd255e8bb6496a45190a2617037066dc401696e9e40a75a41f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1fc5…38d9backed Yes | 23c | 5,698$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.08 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd028…75f5backed No | 77c | 4,981$3,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.78 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 22c | 3,781$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.85 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed No | 78c | 3,473$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.85 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2667…8334backed No | 78c | 1,931$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.41 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b51…df04backed Yes | 26c | 1,808$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked No | 74c | 1,484$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.62 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 22c | 1,334$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.87 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3b…ffcebacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…a4b2backed Yes | 24c | 678.27$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.13 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4c…ff37backed No | 77c | 651.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.98 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 22c | 511$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.03 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Yes | 25c | 500.01$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +12.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcda1…d9adbacked No | 76c | 452.25$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.15 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 10c | 391.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee7d…5f23backed Yes | 29c | 348.28$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 71c | 299.99$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…e84fbacked Yes | 27c | 298.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.14 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd290…fa75backed Yes | 28c | 275.19$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282e…00f3backed No | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked Yes | 24c | 251.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.24 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 24c | 238.24$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1c96backed Yes | 24c | 199.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x509f…8fb7backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e2…0fa1backed Yes | 27c | 157.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.41 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…862bbacked No | 76c | 122.2$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 27c | 112.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c8…3e97backed No | 73c | 110.83$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22a6…38c0backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6807…391ebacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd900…dd5cbacked No | 75c | 94.67$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x679a…aa00backed No | 75c | 86.67$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x855d…698fbacked Yes | 27c | 85.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5178…f7dcbacked No | 77c | 83.12$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c12…1d69backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 27c | 66.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…0e4fbacked Yes | 27c | 55.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f83…6cd9backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d97…d431backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked No | 73c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…a3efbacked Yes | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6529…c63abacked Yes | 27c | 42.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb17…13fabacked No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked No | 71c | 38.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…9c51backed No | 75c | 33.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked No | 74c | 32.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3e…1b31backed No | 75c | 25.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…7d16backed No | 75c | 21.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 74c | 19.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64fb…01ddbacked No | 77c | 17.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United beat Liverpool?this page
- Will Liverpool beat Manchester United?Yes won
- Will Manchester United vs. Liverpool end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.