College Football · resolved market
Will Ohio State beat Tennessee by 8 or more points?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d11dde465eeef0b117f877d90c1925e425246e827027ae91ee909628fcd1185
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ohio Stof Ohio St, Tennesse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Ohio St | 45c | 18,560$8,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,116.27 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…c487backed Tennesse | 54c | 18,380$10,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,001.03 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Ohio St | 46c | 2,044$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.87 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Tennesse | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…3838backed Tennesse | 54c | 1,893$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Ohio St | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.1 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaef8…2113backed Tennesse | 54c | 918$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b1…1d82backed Tennesse | 53c | 918$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3f…1e48backed Ohio St | 47c | 918$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…84dabacked Ohio St | 46c | 918$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Tennesse | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Ohio St | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…ea23backed Ohio St | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Ohio St | 51c | 194.39$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d56…d62ebacked Ohio St | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…beeabacked Tennesse | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…e2d3backed Tennesse | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ohio State beat Tennessee by 8 or more points?this page
- Will Ohio State and Tennessee combine for 47 or more points?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.