College Football · resolved market
Kansas State vs. Arizona
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a2c2ffe8b7d60010b225f98377754d863fff5a2ea830f8b8558177fac2f0af1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizonaof Kansas State, Arizona
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $394,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $393,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $394,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Arizona | 48c | 69,626$33,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,198.11 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Kansas State | 51c | 40,285$20,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,711.01 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Kansas State | 52c | 39,221$20,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,205.43 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Kansas State | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Arizona | 49c | 20,545$10,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,501.12 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Arizona | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 41cpaid | +160.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Arizona | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Kansas State | 33c | 15,898$5,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,189.39 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Kansas State | 29c | 14,208$4,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,167.68 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Kansas State | 28c | 14,038$3,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,882.87 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Kansas State | 52c | 14,000$7,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,239.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Kansas State | 52c | 13,524$7,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,006.74 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Arizona | 48c | 11,629$5,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,047.29 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Kansas State | 52c | 8,693$4,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,520.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Kansas State | 51c | 6,085$3,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,112.4 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Arizona | 68c | 5,582$3,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.72 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Arizona | 70c | 4,487$3,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.12 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Kansas State | 58c | 4,475$2,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610.76 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Arizona | 80c | 4,300$3,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.84 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kansas State | 40c | 4,238$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.94 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Kansas State | 39c | 3,539$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.76 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Arizona | 78c | 3,438$2,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Arizona | 76c | 3,114$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.07 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Arizona | 49c | 2,551$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.14 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Kansas State | 12c | 2,520$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.86 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Arizona | 46c | 2,500$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Kansas State | 51c | 2,200$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Arizona | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Arizona | 71c | 1,710$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.63 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Arizona | 48c | 1,582$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.8 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kansas State | 26c | 1,581$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.1 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Kansas State | 52c | 1,448$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.52 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Arizona | 52c | 1,427$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Arizona | 64c | 1,408$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.95 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Arizona | 76c | 1,402$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.44 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kansas State | 2c | 1,381$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…87c1backed Arizona | 80c | 1,366$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.71 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 72cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Kansas State | 51c | 1,300$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Arizona | 79c | 1,259$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Arizona | 61c | 1,220$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.61 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Kansas State | 17c | 1,200$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Arizona | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Arizona | 51c | 1,070$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.3 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Kansas State | 51c | 957.76$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.84 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Arizona | 48c | 937.5$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.5 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Arizona | 50c | 892.14$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.27 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Arizona | 50c | 669.71$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.26 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…7b47backed Kansas State | 10c | 616.67$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Kansas State | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Kansas State | 52c | 593.86$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.81 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Kansas State | 51c | 564.6$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Kansas State | 34c | 557.72$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.77 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Arizona | 45c | 544$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.2 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +8.9wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…5a3fbacked Arizona | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae8…a385backed Kansas State | 52c | 500.46$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Arizona | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +12.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…114dbacked Kansas State | 33c | 482.36$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Arizona | 58c | 445.45$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.09 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea80…7296backed Kansas State | 23c | 443.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed Arizona | 63c | 421.58$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.42 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Arizona | 61c | 407$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.09 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Arizona | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Arizona | 61c | 391.31$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.79 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Kansas State | 53c | 378.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…239fbacked Kansas State | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Kansas State | 42c | 359.23$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Arizona | 50c | 322.77$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.77 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Kansas State | 37c | 316.44$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.32 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Arizona | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Kansas State | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…f7b2backed Arizona | 70c | 288$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Arizona | 49c | 277.17$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.17 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Arizona | 59c | 266.4$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Kansas State | 25c | 256.36$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Kansas State | 51c | 247.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Kansas State | 53c | 235.85$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Arizona | 51c | 230$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.7 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…51edbacked Arizona | 62c | 225.24$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Kansas State | 20c | 223.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Arizona | 63c | 213.87$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.6 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Arizona | 49c | 205.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.1 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Arizona | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Arizona | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Kansas State | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Kansas State | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0463…d029backed Kansas State | 50c | 144$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Arizona | 48c | 143.75$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.75 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Arizona | 49c | 130$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Arizona | 47c | 128$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebc6…c3e4backed Arizona | 47c | 127.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Arizona | 80c | 126$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Kansas State | 36c | 122.61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2fdbbacked Arizona | 50c | 121.17$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.17 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Arizona | 49c | 117.11$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.73 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Arizona | 46c | 116.25$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kansas State | 46c | 115$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…c7f5backed Kansas State | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d7…261bbacked Arizona | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Kansas State | 34c | 106.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Arizona | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.