CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs HOTU (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05ce8678c6fc19a580b50a51770b73e0075ed471842997fea65fbe6eb59bc6bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HOTUof Gentle Mates, HOTU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HOTU | 48c | 1,037$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.92 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked Gentle Mates | 55c | 900$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked HOTU | 80c | 443.14$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.56 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Gentle Mates | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed HOTU | 48c | 276$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.52 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed HOTU | 49c | 250$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 455 | 44.4%202 W · 253 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a44…8465backed Gentle Mates | 45c | 221.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aad…72b7backed HOTU | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HOTU | 50c | 177.33$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.66 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Gentle Mates | 52c | 173.08$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Gentle Mates | 51c | 171.6$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 969 | 45.6%442 W · 527 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Gentle Mates | 46c | 140$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed HOTU | 73c | 137.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Gentle Mates | 52c | 120$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bf…991cbacked HOTU | 52c | 110.77$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.37 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Gentle Mates | 52c | 101$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked Gentle Mates | 48c | 100.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…43abbacked Gentle Mates | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 184 | 51.1%94 W · 90 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Gentle Mates | 29c | 95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c0…37abbacked Gentle Mates | 33c | 73.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f56…d632backed Gentle Mates | 36c | 55.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked HOTU | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 724 | 51.2%371 W · 353 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed HOTU | 69c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 859 | 46.1%396 W · 463 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Gentle Mates | 30c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27e…2748backed HOTU | 73c | 37.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Gentle Mates | 47c | 31.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0d…6d2ebacked HOTU | 49c | 30.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…1eccbacked Gentle Mates | 66c | 30.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed HOTU | 38c | 30.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked HOTU | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed HOTU | 49c | 25.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 960 | 49.7%477 W · 483 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Gentle Mates | 54c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 873 | 51.2%447 W · 426 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d8…4e9cbacked Gentle Mates | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs HOTU (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs HOTU - Map 1 WinnerHOTU won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs HOTU - Map 2 WinnerGentle Mates won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.