CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbabbf33016f9503a5211d886226dcd407728e5cf00fdf98a9d5091310488b44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Favbetof Favbet, VP.Prodigy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Favbet | 73c | 753.64$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.63 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…5299backed VP.Prodigy | 19c | 562.94$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…4ecebacked VP.Prodigy | 29c | 499.98$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed VP.Prodigy | 28c | 325.23$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.06 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Favbet | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Favbet | 71c | 177.85$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed VP.Prodigy | 20c | 172.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Favbet | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec36…78bbbacked Favbet | 72c | 130$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3efe…2ed8backed Favbet | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed VP.Prodigy | 30c | 109.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…2359backed Favbet | 80c | 101.25$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aad…72b7backed Favbet | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76ff…a353backed Favbet | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked VP.Prodigy | 24c | 53.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed VP.Prodigy | 37c | 53.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Favbet | 69c | 52.83$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed VP.Prodigy | 40c | 49.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 240 | 55.8%134 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f0…7578backed VP.Prodigy | 27c | 46.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Favbet | 80c | 44.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacf3…7513backed Favbet | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Favbet | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe291…c2c9backed Favbet | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x215c…eb01backed Favbet | 71c | 29.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…145fbacked Favbet | 73c | 27.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a7…34d6backed Favbet | 74c | 27.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e97…1481backed Favbet | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…ea80backed Favbet | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 196 | 55.1%108 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa04e…3550backed Favbet | 58c | 18.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.