Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Inner Circle (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbda02d1def17434505a755561bcf54610e1fb50996b1e36be6e96374a96eef79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof Zero Tenacity, Inner Circle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Inner Circle | 0c | 7,496$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Zero Tenacity | 63c | 3,100$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Inner Circle | 37c | 2,640$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.19 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3532…3711backed Inner Circle | 37c | 927.03$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.48 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Inner Circle | 38c | 792.92$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.31 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…7e3ebacked Zero Tenacity | 65c | 773.59$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.39 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Zero Tenacity | 53c | 363.7$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.95 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Zero Tenacity | 63c | 329$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.02 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6274backed Zero Tenacity | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 171 | 52%89 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…50c3backed Zero Tenacity | 60c | 299.3$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Inner Circle | 32c | 267.58$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.06 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Inner Circle | 29c | 203.68$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.07 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Zero Tenacity | 78c | 130$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…7b06backed Zero Tenacity | 61c | 117.3$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Inner Circle | 36c | 97.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked Zero Tenacity | 62c | 77.58$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aad…72b7backed Zero Tenacity | 68c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Inner Circle | 37c | 66.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Inner Circle | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…13d8backed Zero Tenacity | 71c | 56.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Inner Circle | 49c | 55.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Zero Tenacity | 55c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Zero Tenacity | 62c | 43.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…cbc7backed Inner Circle | 41c | 37.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Zero Tenacity | 62c | 32.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Inner Circle | 37c | 31.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…9168backed Zero Tenacity | 64c | 31.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50cb…c79abacked Zero Tenacity | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3c…e6cabacked Zero Tenacity | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949d…374cbacked Zero Tenacity | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Zero Tenacity | 61c | 19.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Inner Circle (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Inner Circle - Game 1 WinnerInner Circle won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Inner Circle - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.