CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Sangal (BO3) - META Cup Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x780ac55ff9a77d39a26b8d3f486b29f5bf1a6a6c851a9be2a6ae0d09e903358b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Team Nemesis, Sangal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0705…41ebbacked Team Nemesis | 25c | 181.88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.41 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda7f…88dbbacked Sangal | 68c | 140.13$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8695…9afabacked Sangal | 75c | 101.55$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Sangal | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7aad…72b7backed Team Nemesis | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sangal | 51c | 60.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed Team Nemesis | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Team Nemesis | 60c | 50.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Team Nemesis | 32c | 46.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Team Nemesis | 47c | 40.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Sangal | 27c | 39.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Sangal | 31c | 38.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked Sangal | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Team Nemesis | 40c | 27.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c0…37abbacked Team Nemesis | 46c | 21.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a38…2a21backed Sangal | 48c | 21.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d8…e34fbacked Team Nemesis | 63c | 19.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.