College Football · resolved market
Spread: Navy (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53e30bd6c0f14e2f97663650a971c14c0d3a7a5e9a8b01f8cf665a13937a8786
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida Atlanticof Navy, Florida Atlantic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Navy | 47c | 38,301$18,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,017.67 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Florida Atlantic | 53c | 28,158$14,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,364.22 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Florida Atlantic | 53c | 14,787$7,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,950 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Navy | 48c | 13,000$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,240 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Florida Atlantic | 53c | 3,500$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Florida Atlantic | 53c | 3,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Florida Atlantic | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea11…551abacked Navy | 48c | 987.94$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…49a2backed Florida Atlantic | 52c | 987.94$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Florida Atlantic | 53c | 760$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.2 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Navy | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Florida Atlantic | 53c | 555$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.85 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Navy | 47c | 211.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.61 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Florida Atlantic | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Navy | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Florida Atlantic | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f55…535dbacked Florida Atlantic | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Navy | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Florida Atlantic | 42c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Navy | 58c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a6…a4acbacked Florida Atlantic | 53c | 52.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9119…d179backed Florida Atlantic | 53c | 52.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Navy | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11eb…0fb0backed Florida Atlantic | 52c | 39.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x756d…75e6backed Florida Atlantic | 53c | 26.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Navy (-14.5)this page
- Florida Atlantic vs. NavyNavy won
- Florida Atlantic vs. Navy: O/U 63.5Over won
- O/U 62.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.