College Football · resolved market
Florida Atlantic vs. Navy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8710077346789efa49bf5a80435977ebfee99921a0b66d3d6cb13d2a5c5964ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Navyof Florida Atlantic, Navy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Florida Atlantic | 16c | 11,011$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.6 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Florida Atlantic | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.99 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Florida Atlantic | 16c | 9,260$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.6 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Florida Atlantic | 15c | 6,662$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.27 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Florida Atlantic | 15c | 6,350$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Florida Atlantic | 16c | 4,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Florida Atlantic | 15c | 3,797$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.9 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Florida Atlantic | 15c | 3,745$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.78 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Florida Atlantic | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Florida Atlantic | 15c | 2,296$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.45 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Florida Atlantic | 16c | 2,250$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Florida Atlantic | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Florida Atlantic | 17c | 1,697$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.96 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Florida Atlantic | 18c | 1,115$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.7 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Florida Atlantic | 16c | 843.72$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Florida Atlantic | 16c | 828$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.48 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba32…deaabacked Florida Atlantic | 9c | 650$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ac…317ebacked Florida Atlantic | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Florida Atlantic | 16c | 485.25$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.07 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Florida Atlantic | 3c | 364.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Florida Atlantic | 16c | 351.27$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.77 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Florida Atlantic | 17c | 300$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Florida Atlantic | 17c | 295$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b8…d54cbacked Florida Atlantic | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacc…9575backed Florida Atlantic | 24c | 219.57$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed Florida Atlantic | 16c | 199.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Florida Atlantic | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Florida Atlantic | 15c | 147.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Florida Atlantic | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…a883backed Florida Atlantic | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d3…cabfbacked Florida Atlantic | 16c | 92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Florida Atlantic | 17c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…5286backed Florida Atlantic | 17c | 65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…3e65backed Florida Atlantic | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Florida Atlantic | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Florida Atlantic vs. Navythis page
- Florida Atlantic vs. Navy: O/U 63.5Over won
- O/U 62.5Over won
- Spread: Navy (-14.5)Florida Atlantic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.