Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump withdraw from Paris climate agreement in first 100 days?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06f04f9b85b837e074369079ab1c8a27d600584a9f8cca12f8595995e8ebc6aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed No | 5c | 14,404$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.26 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 0c | 13,704$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 240 | 0%0 W · 240 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…9224backed Yes | 74c | 10,278$7,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,629.54 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd336…f5e8backed No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed No | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 29c | 2,986$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.92 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked No | 28c | 2,543$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.93 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbae8…ed0cbacked Yes | 64c | 1,921$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 30c | 1,879$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.61 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed No | 24c | 1,666$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.43 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 26c | 1,490$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.27 | 135 | 37.8%51 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0129…53cebacked No | 17c | 1,475$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f0…0446backed Yes | 77c | 1,433$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.44 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked No | 18c | 1,202$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.26 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…221cbacked No | 5c | 1,200$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 20c | 1,171$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.41 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…adabbacked Yes | 75c | 1,098$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.64 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 74c | 1,093$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.23 | 172 | 25%43 W · 129 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb73…c340backed Yes | 78c | 1,031$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.78 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 76c | 856.55$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.75 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6e…5727backed Yes | 73c | 802.64$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.34 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 24c | 745.19$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.56 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc366…a27bbacked Yes | 77c | 676.19$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…f2fabacked Yes | 75c | 667$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.75 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…cfd6backed Yes | 69c | 585.55$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5b…19d9backed Yes | 65c | 528.51$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed No | 22c | 527.36$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.51 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6816…b693backed No | 26c | 515.35$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.21 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 60cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 17c | 499.97$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaef8…fe5cbacked No | 25c | 444$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 74c | 426.17$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.9 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 135 | 25.9%35 W · 100 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c3…7524backed No | 16c | 382.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked No | 14c | 359.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 4c | 312.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 177 | 13%23 W · 154 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb73…a4bebacked No | 5c | 289$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac61…f5f7backed No | 18c | 257.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa56…a3bfbacked No | 28c | 255.39$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +194.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…7064backed No | 20c | 244.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe290…8521backed No | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd295…a832backed No | 17c | 229.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…d8afbacked No | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10c3…814ebacked No | 21c | 216.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 65c | 216.78$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.22 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd592…9ed9backed No | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3799…cd36backed No | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…fc4cbacked No | 30c | 186.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 13c | 170$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d34…5aaebacked No | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed No | 16c | 152$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…82a6backed No | 22c | 147.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x138e…2e4abacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2b…bea9backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…5be7backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d32…b563backed Yes | 77c | 137.71$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd7…925ebacked Yes | 74c | 135.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a63…2eb3backed No | 22c | 134.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2388backed No | 22c | 125.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865c…1016backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1492…97dabacked No | 29c | 120.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…5ab4backed Yes | 70c | 120.29$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…fb1bbacked No | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c71…14a4backed No | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…70f3backed No | 38c | 106.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa244…8e63backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a4…bba9backed No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf338…14f2backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e70…2f06backed Yes | 71c | 99.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cb…b053backed No | 23c | 99.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2328…5adabacked No | 30c | 94.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc0…47d0backed No | 31c | 93.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…2a7bbacked Yes | 74c | 89.91$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d6…0489backed No | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf01b…73f4backed No | 13c | 78.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44f…41a1backed No | 15c | 76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…6cdcbacked No | 19c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 26c | 72.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 286 | 36.7%105 W · 181 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…ebb0backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66dc…7679backed Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…5e25backed No | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…f4a4backed No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 8.5%7 W · 75 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…7f26backed Yes | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ea…fac1backed Yes | 74c | 59.34$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa2…b94fbacked Yes | 76c | 59.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…e6a3backed Yes | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…d0b8backed Yes | 69c | 56.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…caf0backed Yes | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197a…4932backed No | 27c | 50.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8576…f66bbacked Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd760…4fccbacked Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x670f…1f3bbacked No | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae38…f877backed Yes | 72c | 38.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057c…ad12backed Yes | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0a…76a3backed Yes | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4914…76ebbacked Yes | 64c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb393…fa1abacked Yes | 74c | 29.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97d…b68cbacked Yes | 78c | 28.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Yes | 71c | 27.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 98 | 29.6%29 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8a…870cbacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c0…7e81backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.