TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

KSI's "Thick Of It" debuts on Billboard hot 100?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,234
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$104,744

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,234 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6356…1885backed No61c7,769$4,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,718.641040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+886.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x013d…3e88backed No6c5,910$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.730%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xece1…2b04backed Yes13c4,182$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,642.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+675.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2227…b572backed No79c3,972$3,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,121.044731.9%15 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0764…8c45backed Yes73c3,731$2,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2b1…7d2abacked No65c3,638$2,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,371.553641.7%15 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf566…1386backed Yes19c2,497$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,015.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+419.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84c6…0c95backed Yes17c2,374$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,961.193100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+218.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7918…c43abacked Yes33c2,189$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+205.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab64…d070backed No7c1,993$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a3a…ee52backed Yes15c1,542$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.4425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+62%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e3…7d20backed Yes37c1,528$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+172.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed No28c1,504$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.91631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ac…d62cbacked Yes27c1,493$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+265.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9b6…9b6abacked No77c1,456$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ee…d947backed No60c1,126$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.520%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd02f…0d6abacked Yes32c1,010$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+211.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…b13ebacked Yes22c971.82$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+362.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes26c885.9$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.32425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8ad…c1cfbacked Yes10c834.44$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+943.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked Yes67c777.63$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1691…2e1cbacked No16c675$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0b6…7c80backed Yes14c641.84$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+252.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda3d…c0c6backed Yes28c611.58$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+259.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79c4…d1c7backed No78c600$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe077…8ee3backed Yes21c571.48$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.51616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccc…a831backed Yes59c560.91$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes42c550.91$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.9814938.9%58 W · 91 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes68c543.46$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.912540%10 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-35.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc280…de71backed Yes17c500.12$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.1475%3 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.58per pick17cpaid+614.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8564…4b2ebacked Yes13c500$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4354151.2%21 W · 20 L+7.1wins+0.17per pick34cpaid+45.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xda62…3e53backed No15c479.19$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a03…6e17backed Yes35c474$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.16333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8ba…a286backed No50c420.71$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.08450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96fa…baadbacked Yes19c411.41$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+414.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb0d…d6f9backed Yes28c383.31$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.492100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+167.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x495c…512bbacked Yes19c378.39$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac6…82a6backed Yes20c355.92$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.541216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-47.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x74c3…c1a8backed No49c344.66$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.24683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.43per pick41cpaid+242.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed No33c333$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.89825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfa…d777backed Yes23c325$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+333.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0065…02f3backed Yes18c318$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+177.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f1…7b16backed Yes13c312.37$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+643.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aeb…76f9backed Yes54c306.31$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5643…5390backed Yes50c302.3$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.3616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-66.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7d4…8c0dbacked Yes25c301.07$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.013100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+124.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5754…e515backed Yes25c300$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2261241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaac7…afbebacked Yes44c281.42$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00fa…30bebacked Yes19c258.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.5425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ac…fcfcbacked No4c246.14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked No62c231.3$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.962516%4 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid+119.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6a3…c789backed Yes16c231.25$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1dd…47ccbacked Yes14c214.21$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+257.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2741…0865backed No28c211.84$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.171216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x510b…9d46backed Yes36c203.58$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+175.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa276…115cbacked Yes80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0fe…64d5backed No7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac8f…dd8ebacked Yes80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+44.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ad1…ab85backed No20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51f7…0eeebacked Yes75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x577f…73e9backed No25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaef4…6980backed No25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18c…f741backed Yes33c200$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1341100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe62…adf4backed No67c200$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7df0…d185backed No7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb147…6091backed No10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06af…196fbacked Yes75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5220…53e0backed No25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3921…0cf4backed No80c200$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x653b…5e8fbacked No20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc27…dadbbacked No7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0e7…1022backed No8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe221…f08cbacked Yes13c200$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1741100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+669.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52ff…2c6ebacked Yes33c200$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1341100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f31…a376backed No67c200$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e34…b1cabacked Yes75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb979…a072backed No25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x323a…18b6backed Yes75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf604…4917backed Yes75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfda5…545dbacked No25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aac…aad6backed Yes15c196.13$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+553.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa515…7c4bbacked Yes13c191.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+286.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4802…55f5backed Yes11c189.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+845.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x033d…af05backed No80c180$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick64cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf2b…aff1backed Yes39c177.15$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+158.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cce…44b9backed Yes22c160.71$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.71250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+129.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa335…51bdbacked Yes15c151.62$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+565%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8d…5a27backed No27c146.3$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.09180%0 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf90c…0062backed Yes19c145$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7cb…b857backed No79c144.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e47…2b3fbacked Yes73c136.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a9…537cbacked Yes24c136.25$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+312.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb620…dd7abacked No77c132$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb376…382abacked No20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fda…c1d4backed Yes14c122.62$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+621.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x260d…9679backed Yes31c119.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.791855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+40.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfc1…3374backed Yes40c116.38$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e2…bab1backed No78c115.71$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x640b…102abacked Yes48c115.41$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x795d…63e7backed Yes15c105$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.251936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+104%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.