Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Will there be 2+ buzzer beaters during the 2026 Men's NCAA Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf187553ff88e1be9bd5f65ba1f4ee691c615c2e1f98da886ebd896403d311ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,394 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 7 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb97…b54dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,950$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +158.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…271abacked No | 79c | 1,545$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…aa1abacked No | 79c | 371$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +209%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 6c | 249.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed No | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…82a6backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…8211backed No | 79c | 34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will there be 2+ buzzer beaters during the 2026 Men's NCAA Tournament?this page
- Will there be 1+ buzzer beaters during the 2026 Men's NCAA Tournament?Yes won
- Will there be 3+ buzzer beaters during the 2026 Men's NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will there be 5+ buzzer beaters during the 2026 Men's NCAA Tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.