TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Scorigami in NFL Week 16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,175
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,321

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,175 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8996…fbcebacked Yes36c13,988$5,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,030.699732%31 W · 66 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96a4…4d01backed No55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2502711.1%3 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-80.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No70c4,497$3,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.9514342%60 W · 83 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed No68c2,058$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.5814757.1%84 W · 63 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd95…99f2backed Yes37c1,293$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.8915722.3%35 W · 122 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f9…ed12backed Yes26c999.99$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2602015%3 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-65.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes32c946.29$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.4652828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked No69c750$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2302744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x659d…d4a0backed Yes32c750$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2927…c363backed Yes32c750$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67d8…1722backed No68c750$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11c2…c8cebacked No68c750$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x495f…506abacked No71c520.34$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a36…454bbacked No67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1652152.4%11 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.21per pick31cpaid+294.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes14c377.1$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9931439.8%125 W · 189 L-16.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15b7…b75dbacked No69c363$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7acf…f67bbacked No71c355.85$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc81…60a3backed No72c303.03$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed No70c299.98$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.998760.9%53 W · 34 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82a0…33a1backed Yes29c221.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.38296.9%2 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe10b…5fe3backed No65c170$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb97e…bf25backed No73c167.2$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x805c…0549backed No68c163.52$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5b6…1fdcbacked No67c145.57$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86cf…7341backed Yes27c124$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e2…e599backed No58c119.34$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.342128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-35.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d49…dd8fbacked No73c106$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd0…6a8bbacked Yes27c106$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65c6…e22cbacked Yes27c104$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce6…b414backed No73c104$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac6…82a6backed Yes36c102.78$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3750%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked No69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x902e…b45dbacked No66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e13…5befbacked No73c97$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe091…5948backed Yes27c97$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab36…c299backed Yes27c97$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a19…5c13backed No73c97$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a84…2defbacked No73c94$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6d2…7374backed Yes27c94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ef…55d4backed No72c83.42$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.421526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-37.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe247…3bebbacked No69c81$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02e8…e736backed Yes31c81$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb928…2d13backed Yes30c78.02$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x568f…63a1backed No72c76.67$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes48c75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3619638.8%76 W · 120 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbce…70bebacked Yes30c74$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf56d…7ee5backed No70c74$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50d1…1025backed Yes31c71$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1a…a8babacked No69c71$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb057…010abacked No71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.42425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-64.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x415c…3c94backed Yes28c67.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.814926.5%13 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d36…cbfabacked No69c60.48$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7892…1ea2backed No67c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a97…47debacked No71c59.15$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6276…143fbacked Yes31c58.74$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0815…b736backed No67c56.63$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.692290.9%20 W · 2 L+4.6wins+0.21per pick70cpaid+32.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x71fa…7e20backed Yes27c53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ce…c269backed No73c53$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6be…318abacked No69c51$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.81250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf32…4326backed Yes31c51$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96e6…a875backed Yes31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd591…3e19backed No69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x098f…47cdbacked Yes31c49.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.73145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa86f…e2b3backed No67c49$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4651…a42bbacked Yes33c49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x831d…ad8bbacked Yes34c45.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac66…f5ccbacked Yes27c43.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc80d…d3a3backed Yes31c43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc624…fae3backed No69c43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf862…b9eabacked No69c42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5cc6backed Yes31c42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1644…3563backed Yes31c42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6218…85bebacked Yes31c42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cc6…e3f3backed No69c42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb507…1fe3backed Yes33c42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa59a…ba0cbacked No67c42$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+80.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a45…1df6backed No69c42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b8…29d0backed No69c41$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3655…1d63backed No69c41$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc017…b661backed Yes31c41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x441d…6ca9backed Yes31c41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc295…717fbacked No67c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff2e…6ab0backed Yes33c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c2…0a7fbacked No69c38$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9626…31c3backed Yes31c38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6b4…a953backed No69c37$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f96…5ec3backed Yes31c37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0db2…048abacked No70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.716854.4%37 W · 31 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes32c34.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.257123.9%17 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c10…f9ecbacked Yes33c34$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5900…bd7abacked No67c34$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2376…e6d0backed Yes37c33.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x790a…0280backed No67c33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d90…93aebacked Yes33c33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b02…8459backed Yes35c31.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28c4…adfbbacked No68c30.65$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdd…5624backed No69c30.36$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b7a…4817backed No69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.34047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c3f…01efbacked No68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe91…8969backed No69c27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.