NFL · resolved market
Scorigami in NFL Week 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9ca78bfd4996edff90b1c02df4918f6ef29206914ce6f393a9a9304fa57813e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 60c | 16,618$9,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,944.52 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb618…14babacked Yes | 30c | 13,074$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,173.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes | 32c | 8,750$2,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,931.5 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Yes | 35c | 6,122$2,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,985.44 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed No | 70c | 5,503$3,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,847.01 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +36%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.99 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1354backed No | 72c | 1,913$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…bd72backed No | 72c | 1,818$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.31 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfd…b5f3backed No | 16c | 1,125$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4df…7f8ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,000$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x869f…a022backed No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x761e…1e8abacked No | 72c | 765.42$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf644…7f87backed No | 4c | 715$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 28c | 692.14$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.34 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d97…d431backed No | 72c | 500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 73c | 339.92$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.87 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6c…0bc2backed Yes | 80c | 333.87$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 30c | 300$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 72c | 250$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9488…6802backed Yes | 41c | 178.17$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.09 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a3…dbc4backed No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 28c | 121$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.02 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 19c | 104$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.76 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1a…efe7backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…3128backed No | 72c | 78.14$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 72cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5574…6424backed No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…af3bbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2771…df92backed No | 72c | 48.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x120a…6456backed Yes | 29c | 37.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba3f…8b64backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb7…7fddbacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3299…2584backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…82a6backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.