Movies · resolved market
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaee49378bf8a0ff738d0399013264d20ddc55676953eac078aa89d438d1479ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 20c | 7,489$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.8 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 10c | 5,133$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.45 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 46c | 3,471$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.81 | 138 | 20.3%28 W · 110 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 46c | 2,849$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.3 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked Yes | 55c | 2,751$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.05 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bb…a9f7backed Yes | 43c | 1,897$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.27 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 66c | 1,207$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.66 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab21…c521backed Yes | 18c | 1,205$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.83 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 42c | 831.9$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.33 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 80c | 803.36$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.55 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 64c | 777.43$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.71 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 70c | 760$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 69c | 698$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.54 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 73c | 565.84$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.21 | 167 | 37.1%62 W · 105 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed Yes | 17c | 537.15$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 58c | 535.62$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.54 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7afb…61eabacked Yes | 9c | 522.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 66c | 498.94$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.44 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…6087backed Yes | 21c | 486.96$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.48 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 53c | 484.5$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.15 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 66c | 460$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.08 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 51c | 440.48$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.8 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 40c | 431.23$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.76 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9afe…062abacked Yes | 65c | 430$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.81 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 60c | 400.1$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…146dbacked Yes | 29c | 400$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaad…69ccbacked No | 51c | 349.7$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.52 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 19c | 294.8$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 1,393 | 8%111 W · 1,282 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 51c | 272.26$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.13 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 22c | 270.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 108 | 30.6%33 W · 75 L | -13.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed Yes | 12c | 261.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked No | 45c | 231.67$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 43c | 223.2$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.91 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 59c | 214.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.85 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…4cfdbacked Yes | 44c | 201.98$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.36 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…67b1backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…59aebacked No | 78c | 200$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 15c | 181.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9842…5ac8backed Yes | 10c | 180$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 79c | 174.98$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cb…6cb5backed Yes | 19c | 172.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 67c | 172.12$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.34 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 64c | 166.44$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 62c | 158.72$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.56 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…99e7backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 29c | 150.16$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 63c | 143.71$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.23 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 64c | 143.43$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 13c | 136.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39ca…7605backed Yes | 13c | 123.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 41c | 121.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.77 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3344…56c4backed Yes | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 54c | 102.97$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…ea62backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 56c | 98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 57c | 95$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.19 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed No | 63c | 87.35$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4b…6b9dbacked Yes | 21c | 79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf697…c72cbacked Yes | 33c | 69.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked No | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c2…412cbacked No | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb598…14fcbacked No | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…4ffabacked No | 50c | 57.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5449…992bbacked Yes | 23c | 56.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 75c | 55.23$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…d1f0backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf56…50e7backed Yes | 65c | 49.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 45c | 44.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…76a4backed No | 45c | 44.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -6.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…0f4cbacked No | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ee…a2e3backed Yes | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e3…8327backed No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…b60abacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…f3b1backed No | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked No | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked Yes | 50c | 33.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cf…d696backed Yes | 63c | 31.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298f…b4e1backed Yes | 49c | 30.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 40c | 29.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8b…01e9backed No | 48c | 26.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdd…5fb3backed Yes | 74c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 77c | 23.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…6d0abacked No | 49c | 20.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Yes | 56c | 20.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…5658backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…7004backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 61cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -7.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…c246backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…35f0backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 65c | 17.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 74c | 16.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m?this page
- Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?Yes won
- Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 57m and 62m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 47m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.