Boxing · resolved market
Boxing: Adam22 vs. Jason Luv
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6b3f0b98ce42aff80a336fd95fe5ac8b3e5ea9ddc8d617d9573333d9e8f36c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jason Luvof Adam22, Jason Luv
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Adam22 | 13c | 1,695$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Adam22 | 15c | 999.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef8…1116backed Adam22 | 17c | 648.11$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.73 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4b…59ebbacked Adam22 | 30c | 467.84$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…a74cbacked Adam22 | 45c | 448.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…b60abacked Adam22 | 17c | 438.24$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8db…c797backed Jason Luv | 69c | 332.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0a…59d4backed Adam22 | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…9402backed Adam22 | 16c | 243.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3643…8db3backed Adam22 | 16c | 212.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Jason Luv | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fb…e73abacked Adam22 | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…a761backed Jason Luv | 70c | 141.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe4…52b8backed Adam22 | 31c | 141.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed89…c52abacked Adam22 | 18c | 122.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e4…ce6cbacked Adam22 | 19c | 105.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb8…d0c9backed Adam22 | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…7014backed Jason Luv | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a9…afedbacked Adam22 | 18c | 89.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…3790backed Adam22 | 23c | 88.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db4…2f93backed Jason Luv | 80c | 86.12$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x658c…2be0backed Adam22 | 30c | 74.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0668…b07fbacked Adam22 | 19c | 63.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ed…ce26backed Jason Luv | 67c | 61.23$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6a…f389backed Adam22 | 33c | 60.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…2959backed Adam22 | 31c | 60.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf386…d19dbacked Adam22 | 30c | 36.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Jason Luv | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 36cpaid | +121.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x28ee…92d8backed Adam22 | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.