TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeeb8…d0c9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst College Football at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST3066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$61
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$66
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+63.9%+$39
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+29.9%+$23
Trail Blazers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+37%+$27
Lakers vs. Bullsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+88.7%+$47
Raptors vs. Thunderbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+400%+$80
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+185.7%+$65
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$52
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+156.4%+$61
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Heat vs. Trail Blazersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+203%+$67
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+127.3%+$56
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Suns vs. Knicksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+150%+$60
Suns vs. Heatbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$52
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+62%+$37.79
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+29.9%+$23
Celtics vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Magic vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+33.3%+$24.75
Grizzlies vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+25%+$19.61
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$72.28
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+25%+$20.5
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+33.3%+$25
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+28.2%+$21.78
All 5 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+40.8%+$29
Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$48
All 3 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Adam22 vs. Jason Luvbacked Adam22 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$77
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.