Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Charlotte 49ers vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x239e2d325871ba4fdcbf729154544aa9eb97c18552b331c082c154a411da108e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Appalachian State Mountaineersof Charlotte 49ers, Appalachian State Mountaineers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 63c | 1,312$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.8 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Charlotte 49ers | 42c | 1,050$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.5 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 53c | 908$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.76 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Charlotte 49ers | 47c | 908$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.76 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 64c | 883.46$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.26 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Charlotte 49ers | 32c | 801.4$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.06 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 66c | 690$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.12 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Charlotte 49ers | 46c | 638.14$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.34 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 53c | 418.87$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.87 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 53c | 384$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.31 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 52c | 376$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.48 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 71c | 370$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.07 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Charlotte 49ers | 47c | 310$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Charlotte 49ers | 47c | 181.6$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.35 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 54c | 119.58$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b9…ed3abacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 33c | 114.68$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Charlotte 49ers | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Charlotte 49ers | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 54c | 98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.98 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 53c | 94.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Charlotte 49ers | 46c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…b60abacked Charlotte 49ers | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Charlotte 49ers | 56c | 37.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2117backed Charlotte 49ers | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed Charlotte 49ers | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Charlotte 49ers | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Charlotte 49ers | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 59c | 17.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.