MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8f04f8265e676f9c67f27f9bd524ba0f81a8329c294200f13ae6467b2ad96c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Marlins, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $519,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $530,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $519,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 346 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Rangers | 58c | 337,084$195,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195,498.64 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Marlins | 42c | 130,000$54,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,400 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Marlins | 42c | 126,284$53,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,244.91 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Rangers | 58c | 88,888$51,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,555.04 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Marlins | 42c | 24,000$10,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,920 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Marlins | 42c | 15,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,700 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Marlins | 42c | 11,111$4,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,444.38 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Marlins | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2c…587bbacked Rangers | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Rangers | 16c | 7,854$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.8 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Rangers | 58c | 7,480$4,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,313.6 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marlins | 42c | 6,700$2,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,886 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Marlins | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,479.99 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Marlins | 42c | 5,793$2,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360.17 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 49c | 4,193$2,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.11 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Marlins | 43c | 3,168$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.12 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Rangers | 58c | 2,584$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.01 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 42c | 2,264$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.91 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Rangers | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.98 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Rangers | 62c | 1,685$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.2 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Rangers | 58c | 1,509$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.43 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98fd…b575backed Marlins | 42c | 1,301$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.58 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Rangers | 58c | 1,207$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.16 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Marlins | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.99 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Marlins | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.2 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rangers | 50c | 1,003$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.14 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Marlins | 42c | 999.98$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Rangers | 57c | 991.57$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.19 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Marlins | 42c | 952.39$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.38 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Marlins | 41c | 927.79$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.4 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Marlins | 48c | 888$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.76 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rangers | 57c | 745.56$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.97 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Marlins | 42c | 719$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.02 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins | 31c | 653.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.23 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 32c | 612.9$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.09 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Marlins | 46c | 542.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.95 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Rangers | 42c | 531.63$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.12 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4b…d004backed Rangers | 8c | 516.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Marlins | 61c | 507.62$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.97 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 42c | 499.98$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.49 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Marlins | 63c | 488.46$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Marlins | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Marlins | 43c | 470.65$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.76 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Marlins | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Marlins | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rangers | 49c | 438.18$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.93 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rangers | 58c | 425.99$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.08 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Rangers | 58c | 414$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.12 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Rangers | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed Marlins | 41c | 375$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.75 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb3…2d43backed Marlins | 57c | 349.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.14 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ba…d03cbacked Rangers | 59c | 343.73$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b1…a7b6backed Marlins | 42c | 343.67$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d0…1185backed Marlins | 42c | 339.9$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.14 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…28fabacked Rangers | 59c | 339.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.5 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f25…8ca8backed Marlins | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Rangers | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Rangers | 58c | 299.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.99 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Marlins | 44c | 255.3$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.97 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Marlins | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Marlins | 42c | 243.8$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.4 | 1,055 | 50.3%531 W · 524 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Rangers | 58c | 241.93$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.32 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62d1…c018backed Marlins | 42c | 235.71$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Marlins | 43c | 234.88$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.88 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Rangers | 58c | 232.76$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Marlins | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Marlins | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Rangers | 58c | 215.52$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,302 | 56.7%738 W · 564 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…7c90backed Marlins | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd1…f50fbacked Marlins | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe325…9408backed Marlins | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9533…6d5fbacked Marlins | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…5836backed Rangers | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…8f62backed Marlins | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…6179backed Marlins | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2f…8cf4backed Marlins | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…fb4fbacked Rangers | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…d780backed Marlins | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2289…6ceebacked Rangers | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…ed5abacked Marlins | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…c144backed Marlins | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18dd…51a8backed Marlins | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…0255backed Marlins | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe5…3c80backed Marlins | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…69d9backed Marlins | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b7…c03ebacked Marlins | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe72…10a7backed Marlins | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…9558backed Marlins | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c17…9886backed Marlins | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7273…bc26backed Marlins | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x549c…13cdbacked Marlins | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…4f1fbacked Rangers | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe12d…2e6abacked Marlins | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9df5…2390backed Marlins | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a1…dd3ebacked Marlins | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…9ca6backed Marlins | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f4…2663backed Rangers | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4545…3405backed Marlins | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…d260backed Marlins | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e05…e163backed Marlins | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Marlins vs. Rangersthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.