NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x747a6e1f6623a81ac9bc265d398f1cdf5de76875ecac9f6a4d86c2bdf60841fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Wild, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf00…0c1abacked Wild | 40c | 7,000$2,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,196.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f92…15d2backed Capitals | 60c | 6,973$4,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,184.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…25a2backed Capitals | 61c | 6,010$3,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,666.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…0b75backed Wild | 39c | 3,980$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,427.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd182…941ebacked Wild | 41c | 3,730$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wild | 41c | 2,996$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.07 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0304…dcc7backed Wild | 41c | 2,700$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.93 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989f…0af2backed Capitals | 60c | 2,600$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9370…107abacked Wild | 40c | 2,580$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 31cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ef…1b6ebacked Capitals | 59c | 2,200$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…a71cbacked Wild | 39c | 1,968$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.75 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Capitals | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43b4…5389backed Capitals | 59c | 1,257$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Capitals | 2c | 1,200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Capitals | 1c | 1,050$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 103 | 1%1 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Capitals | 62c | 1,000$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.07 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Capitals | 62c | 997.21$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.27 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Wild | 37c | 939.82$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.64 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Capitals | 56c | 730.72$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.69 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Wild | 40c | 615.58$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.06 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Wild | 41c | 549.95$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.47 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…4ae3backed Capitals | 62c | 528.27$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked Capitals | 48c | 475$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Capitals | 65c | 450.02$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…9657backed Capitals | 58c | 430.97$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa73…4c3abacked Wild | 60c | 422.53$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…cefebacked Capitals | 56c | 355$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -78%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 58c | 350$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.71 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4f…799cbacked Wild | 44c | 350$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe429…fb94backed Wild | 52c | 333.06$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Capitals | 4c | 322$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe6…2255backed Capitals | 58c | 309.95$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Capitals | 60c | 304.19$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.51 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Wild | 40c | 302.9$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.92 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Capitals | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…e82ebacked Wild | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…9176backed Capitals | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7273…5424backed Wild | 41c | 299.92$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Capitals | 59c | 296.7$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.62 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Capitals | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4623…66c8backed Wild | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…7ae6backed Capitals | 59c | 244.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.55 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Wild | 38c | 239.68$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.13 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a07…7768backed Wild | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Wild | 40c | 226.11$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Capitals | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Capitals | 62c | 194.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Capitals | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Capitals | 63c | 152.91$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.75 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Wild | 11c | 150$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7d…c5c7backed Capitals | 59c | 143.22$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x207d…52d7backed Wild | 42c | 142.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdab…1f2fbacked Capitals | 62c | 126.86$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e6…026dbacked Capitals | 61c | 113.11$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e7…e756backed Capitals | 59c | 112.47$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.36 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 51cpaid | -76%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wild | 47c | 102.18$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Capitals | 59c | 102$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Capitals | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Wild | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Capitals | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1d…d595backed Wild | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…2037backed Wild | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Capitals | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba02…e42bbacked Wild | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Wild | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Wild | 40c | 99.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…c0cdbacked Capitals | 41c | 97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…ad6cbacked Wild | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…0043backed Wild | 60c | 93.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b0…3f9ebacked Capitals | 59c | 93.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Capitals | 46c | 91.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc923…5a59backed Wild | 38c | 90$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Capitals | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Capitals | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Capitals | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Capitals | 59c | 82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb54e…8f34backed Capitals | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd70a…050dbacked Capitals | 59c | 78.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc9…19a1backed Wild | 37c | 76.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7e…47c9backed Capitals | 63c | 76.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Wild | 41c | 75.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e239backed Capitals | 43c | 75.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…4655backed Wild | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Wild | 60c | 66.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 96 | 65.6%63 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdd…24cabacked Capitals | 58c | 66.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4d…52e9backed Wild | 42c | 64.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde45…ae35backed Wild | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +176.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Capitals | 57c | 61.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…e43bbacked Capitals | 62c | 60.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -6.6wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb19b…478dbacked Capitals | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdc…9c71backed Wild | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…329ebacked Wild | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…678cbacked Wild | 42c | 54.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Wild | 41c | 54.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Wild | 41c | 51.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Capitals | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…c208backed Capitals | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dfb…d2a3backed Wild | 42c | 48.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6392…f797backed Capitals | 59c | 47.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8562…0397backed Capitals | 57c | 46.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.