Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon WTA: Kayla Day vs Madison Keys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0c3d7b665df436ec7f49a36f760d2023f4f33b68e7390c5de51cb51b6485f85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Madison Keysof Kayla Day, Madison Keys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $218,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $238,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kayla Day | 21c | 13,455$2,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,822.88 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Madison Keys | 65c | 9,999$6,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,478.74 | 348 | 57.2%199 W · 149 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kayla Day | 9c | 8,755$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Kayla Day | 31c | 7,840$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420.04 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Madison Keys | 66c | 7,755$5,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,646.98 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Kayla Day | 7c | 7,504$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.39 | 183 | 15.8%29 W · 154 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Madison Keys | 62c | 7,500$4,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,862.64 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3705…9677backed Kayla Day | 8c | 6,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Madison Keys | 77c | 5,643$4,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.31 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Kayla Day | 9c | 4,553$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.43 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kayla Day | 10c | 4,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 168 | 25%42 W · 126 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Kayla Day | 35c | 2,813$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.51 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…698cbacked Kayla Day | 43c | 2,327$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kayla Day | 31c | 2,166$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.08 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Madison Keys | 71c | 2,105$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.95 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Kayla Day | 7c | 2,085$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.9 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Kayla Day | 39c | 2,040$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.56 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6f…7135backed Madison Keys | 73c | 2,000$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.78 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Kayla Day | 41c | 1,500$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.5 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Kayla Day | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Kayla Day | 43c | 1,500$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Kayla Day | 40c | 1,200$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.01 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Kayla Day | 10c | 1,199$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.9 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…4525backed Kayla Day | 23c | 1,180$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.34 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x697a…a32cbacked Kayla Day | 35c | 1,127$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ab…13a1backed Kayla Day | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Kayla Day | 30c | 944.85$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.63 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Madison Keys | 78c | 921.94$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.25 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Madison Keys | 65c | 800$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.27 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134f…2b5dbacked Kayla Day | 35c | 789.5$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.35 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x411e…72f0backed Kayla Day | 10c | 749.81$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.98 | 157 | 62.4%98 W · 59 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Kayla Day | 14c | 744$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.18 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Kayla Day | 27c | 711.58$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.55 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Madison Keys | 54c | 700$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.48 | 132 | 37.9%50 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kayla Day | 39c | 700$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Kayla Day | 10c | 681.84$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…7ee6backed Madison Keys | 69c | 663.39$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.22 | 208 | 65.9%137 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Kayla Day | 27c | 661.29$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.91 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7d3dbacked Kayla Day | 35c | 658.86$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Kayla Day | 23c | 645.42$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.16 | 289 | 47.8%138 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Kayla Day | 14c | 615.57$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.45 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Kayla Day | 7c | 612.02$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Kayla Day | 34c | 574.6$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Madison Keys | 64c | 536.02$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.65 | 216 | 55.6%120 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Madison Keys | 73c | 535.4$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.41 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kayla Day | 25c | 517$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.35 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Kayla Day | 37c | 500$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.46 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Kayla Day | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Kayla Day | 8c | 499.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 271 | 32.1%87 W · 184 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…79f3backed Madison Keys | 65c | 494.63$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.76 | 212 | 57.5%122 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Madison Keys | 73c | 475.28$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.11 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Madison Keys | 72c | 455.11$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.37 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Madison Keys | 78c | 436.68$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.79 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Kayla Day | 29c | 378.88$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.58 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kayla Day | 23c | 373.56$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Kayla Day | 13c | 369.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd6…8577backed Kayla Day | 41c | 360$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.58 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Madison Keys | 73c | 345.5$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.17 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…36a3backed Kayla Day | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 547 | 44.4%243 W · 304 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Madison Keys | 62c | 330$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.08 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed Kayla Day | 30c | 328.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 306 | 25.8%79 W · 227 L | -28.6wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Madison Keys | 66c | 299.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 250 | 51.2%128 W · 122 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Kayla Day | 33c | 299.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Kayla Day | 35c | 281.03$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.08 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffe…a60fbacked Madison Keys | 77c | 263.79$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.17 | 166 | 67.5%112 W · 54 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Madison Keys | 72c | 261.17$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.95 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b8…8712backed Madison Keys | 61c | 258.94$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 172 | 57%98 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Kayla Day | 21c | 258.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…6794backed Madison Keys | 50c | 240$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.2 | 369 | 54.2%200 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…7843backed Kayla Day | 32c | 230.62$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.51 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Madison Keys | 76c | 211.47$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Madison Keys | 71c | 211$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Madison Keys | 73c | 204.28$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.28 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Kayla Day | 10c | 200.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Kayla Day | 30c | 200$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 489 | 41.1%201 W · 288 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Madison Keys | 71c | 199.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.6 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Kayla Day | 18c | 197.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Kayla Day | 21c | 193.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Madison Keys | 78c | 192.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Kayla Day | 12c | 192$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…2970backed Kayla Day | 42c | 188.1$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Kayla Day | 26c | 185.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 178 | 18%32 W · 146 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Madison Keys | 47c | 170.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.22 | 401 | 44.4%178 W · 223 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed0d…bc18backed Madison Keys | 71c | 169.56$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…d7f6backed Madison Keys | 61c | 164.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Kayla Day | 26c | 161.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e66…bbd2backed Kayla Day | 31c | 160.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Kayla Day | 25c | 157.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Madison Keys | 69c | 150.76$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.48 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Madison Keys | 67c | 150.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Kayla Day | 9c | 148$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Kayla Day | 10c | 146.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37f1…19a0backed Madison Keys | 63c | 142.7$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 517 | 36.9%191 W · 326 L | -39.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Madison Keys | 57c | 141$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.15 | 801 | 53.1%425 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…df6fbacked Madison Keys | 66c | 140$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd41a…aa9fbacked Kayla Day | 8c | 131.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Madison Keys | 78c | 128.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Kayla Day | 30c | 127.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 226 | 62.8%142 W · 84 L | +15.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37a6…6684backed Madison Keys | 77c | 123.14$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Madison Keys | 79c | 120.11$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon WTA: Kayla Day vs Madison Keysthis page
- Day vs. Keys: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Day vs KeysDay won
- Set Handicap: Keys (-1.5) vs Day (+1.5)Day won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.