MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b7e52ecb79d1f890260961149708095668ae9f6a7946a8a8297f67d1e6de3e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Marlins, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $314,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $327,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $314,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Orioles | 57c | 45,370$25,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,860.75 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Orioles | 56c | 31,338$17,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,549.05 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Orioles | 54c | 26,090$14,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,088.57 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Marlins | 46c | 19,385$8,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,467.9 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Marlins | 44c | 15,369$6,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,606.37 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Marlins | 43c | 12,564$5,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,161.4 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marlins | 43c | 12,500$5,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,065 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Orioles | 56c | 10,265$5,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,791.85 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Orioles | 59c | 10,174$6,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,002.43 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 52c | 8,607$4,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,484.45 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 45c | 6,537$2,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,581.06 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Orioles | 56c | 4,530$2,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,538.5 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Marlins | 44c | 4,440$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,486.4 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Orioles | 53c | 3,899$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066.47 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Marlins | 44c | 3,501$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961.4 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Orioles | 56c | 3,500$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 47c | 3,097$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.47 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Marlins | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Marlins | 47c | 2,533$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.27 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Marlins | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Marlins | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Marlins | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Orioles | 57c | 1,835$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.3 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Orioles | 56c | 1,452$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.25 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Orioles | 8c | 1,410$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.4 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Orioles | 56c | 1,125$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Orioles | 1c | 1,064$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Marlins | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Marlins | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Orioles | 57c | 760$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.2 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…4979backed Orioles | 50c | 744.56$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Orioles | 2c | 649.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Orioles | 5c | 638$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Orioles | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Marlins | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Orioles | 60c | 570$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.9 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Orioles | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Marlins | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Orioles | 2c | 474$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Marlins | 47c | 449.05$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.99 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Marlins | 43c | 399.02$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.02 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Marlins | 69c | 373.35$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.9 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Orioles | 55c | 370$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.5 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Marlins | 45c | 364$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.2 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 46c | 359.98$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.19 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Marlins | 46c | 359.07$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.08 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Marlins | 44c | 334.24$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.57 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Orioles | 6c | 332.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Orioles | 53c | 332.11$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.02 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Orioles | 61c | 326.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ca…5b45backed Marlins | 44c | 318.18$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.18 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Orioles | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Marlins | 44c | 299.5$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.72 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Marlins | 48c | 279.17$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.17 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Marlins | 54c | 217$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Marlins | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Marlins | 48c | 208.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.02 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Marlins | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Marlins | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Marlins | 44c | 190$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Orioles | 54c | 186.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Marlins | 58c | 185.92$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.72 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Orioles | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Orioles | 57c | 181.63$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.53 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Orioles | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Marlins | 46c | 153.66$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.66 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Marlins | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc839…2930backed Orioles | 15c | 129.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Marlins | 45c | 125.76$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.57 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Orioles | 15c | 125.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Orioles | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Marlins | 45c | 109$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.95 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Marlins | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Marlins | 45c | 104$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Marlins | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…9d12backed Marlins | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Orioles | 42c | 98.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Marlins | 66c | 98.75$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Marlins | 47c | 95.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.05 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Orioles | 56c | 93.86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Orioles | 54c | 93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…7c26backed Orioles | 57c | 87.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Marlins | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c3…b35abacked Orioles | 13c | 85.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Orioles | 56c | 80.86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Marlins | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…ca68backed Orioles | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d9…61cdbacked Orioles | 57c | 69.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Orioles | 55c | 67.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Marlins | 56c | 56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Marlins | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Marlins | 44c | 52.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…b3f2backed Marlins | 39c | 51.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Orioles | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Marlins | 47c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Marlins | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Marlins | 52c | 48.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 195 | 66.2%129 W · 66 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa998…dec1backed Orioles | 53c | 45.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.