Tennis · resolved market
ITF Don Benito: Ann Akasha Ceuca vs Naomi McKenzie
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7cd6a5d9744168dd61b839889d1f21c2c9c4aaf0671dd0e9d45d3954146abed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ann Akasha Ceucaof Ann Akasha Ceuca, Naomi McKenzie
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Ann Akasha Ceuca | 75c | 3,145$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.83 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Naomi McKenzie | 23c | 1,046$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.56 | 330 | 43.9%145 W · 185 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Naomi McKenzie | 33c | 606.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Naomi McKenzie | 18c | 407.53$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.75 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Naomi McKenzie | 11c | 364.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…7475backed Naomi McKenzie | 32c | 329.91$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.46 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa518…cce4backed Naomi McKenzie | 27c | 295.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 31cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Naomi McKenzie | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Naomi McKenzie | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Naomi McKenzie | 16c | 199.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Ann Akasha Ceuca | 77c | 195.76$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Naomi McKenzie | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,000 | 49.8%498 W · 502 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Naomi McKenzie | 22c | 164$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Naomi McKenzie | 23c | 152.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Naomi McKenzie | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 956 | 55.9%534 W · 422 L | +19.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Naomi McKenzie | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Ann Akasha Ceuca | 78c | 130.13$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 610 | 62.8%383 W · 227 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Naomi McKenzie | 23c | 117.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0114…fbfabacked Ann Akasha Ceuca | 73c | 117.22$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Naomi McKenzie | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f4…7763backed Ann Akasha Ceuca | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Naomi McKenzie | 23c | 70.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1,009 | 38.3%386 W · 623 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Ann Akasha Ceuca | 77c | 19.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.