CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 6666 vs Esport BERG (BO1) - Urban Riga Open #5 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04d7e0bf1c5ed73cc0e0e618552b11b4ae4f83bd28e309dc89483da4f104d7c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Esport BERGof 6666, Esport BERG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Esport BERG | 68c | 8,140$5,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565.17 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 6666 | 26c | 2,760$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.22 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Esport BERG | 72c | 681.29$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.54 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed 6666 | 31c | 438.17$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.97 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…7475backed 6666 | 58c | 423.45$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.38 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked 6666 | 48c | 380$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.55 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 6666 | 5c | 328$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed 6666 | 31c | 309$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.77 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked 6666 | 30c | 302$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.66 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed 6666 | 31c | 290.32$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed 6666 | 30c | 270.97$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.71 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 6666 | 41c | 261.94$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.77 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed 6666 | 31c | 249$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.19 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed 6666 | 31c | 220$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed 6666 | 36c | 170.54$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked 6666 | 32c | 168.37$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.67 | 422 | 55.7%235 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed 6666 | 30c | 167$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed 6666 | 8c | 164.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed 6666 | 31c | 160$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed 6666 | 32c | 143.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Esport BERG | 65c | 141.36$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.61 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked 6666 | 28c | 121.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 187 | 53.5%100 W · 87 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked 6666 | 28c | 114$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked 6666 | 12c | 113.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Esport BERG | 65c | 109.16$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 284 | 34.9%99 W · 185 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked 6666 | 32c | 108.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed 6666 | 29c | 108$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked 6666 | 28c | 104$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf044…c09abacked 6666 | 29c | 101.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Esport BERG | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked 6666 | 37c | 99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked 6666 | 37c | 89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked 6666 | 29c | 86.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 6666 | 31c | 86.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed 6666 | 29c | 84.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed 6666 | 30c | 77.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed 6666 | 34c | 65.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed 6666 | 32c | 62.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked 6666 | 33c | 59.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed 6666 | 26c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…5b70backed 6666 | 29c | 51.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Esport BERG | 56c | 47.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Esport BERG | 76c | 47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…e6b9backed Esport BERG | 57c | 41.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Esport BERG | 70c | 38.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Esport BERG | 55c | 36.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…3288backed Esport BERG | 70c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…6167backed Esport BERG | 61c | 25.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Esport BERG | 63c | 15.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed Esport BERG | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.