TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: mellren vs Next UP (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #6 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
mellrenof mellren, Next UP
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$144,092
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$201,815

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,092 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdced…c799backed mellren50c17,521$8,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,723.663571.4%25 W · 10 L+7.3wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+46.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x637b…948bbacked mellren52c9,373$4,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,542.347364.4%47 W · 26 L+9.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+29.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked mellren64c9,077$5,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,258.471,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Next UP48c8,068$3,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,888.7527037.8%102 W · 168 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Next UP49c8,057$3,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,946.8163038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked mellren50c6,939$3,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,465.8792456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Next UP52c6,522$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,360.2575438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Next UP49c6,194$3,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,065.472,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Next UP47c5,108$2,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,391.181,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Next UP53c4,888$2,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,571.1988330.7%271 W · 612 L-63.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xedcc…41a1backed mellren44c3,640$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04621953.4%117 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7004…a778backed mellren48c2,594$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,342.2630155.8%168 W · 133 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Next UP54c2,540$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.663,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb3ea…49e9backed mellren52c1,856$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.545749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Next UP57c1,806$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.737,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Next UP51c1,676$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.49341.9%39 W · 54 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Next UP51c1,547$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.2423244.8%104 W · 128 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked Next UP7c1,434$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7431845.3%144 W · 174 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Next UP44c1,371$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.162,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Next UP46c1,144$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.295,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked mellren62c1,110$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.3134559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1831…3ff8backed mellren56c1,050$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.8413649.3%67 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88f2…a6c1backed mellren43c959.41$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.5313352.6%70 W · 63 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked mellren66c912.2$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.4530450.7%154 W · 150 L-0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051c…ca3fbacked mellren76c853.82$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.2835847.5%170 W · 188 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33d3…bf38backed mellren70c825.11$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.210560%63 W · 42 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Next UP18c810.31$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.6729340.6%119 W · 174 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Next UP12c775.24$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.231,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Next UP53c750$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.2732139.9%128 W · 193 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x937b…2909backed Next UP65c725.01$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.8520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Next UP64c603.62$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.3389046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd761…56e3backed mellren49c547$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28124746.2%114 W · 133 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed Next UP48c547$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.445748.1%220 W · 237 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8373…7475backed mellren46c513.13$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2771855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd84d…cc32backed mellren51c500$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24433048.8%161 W · 169 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0af3…8598backed Next UP32c470.27$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15014749.7%73 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b1…4625backed mellren72c464.95$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.991258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d4a…c078backed mellren44c455.01$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.6512271.3%87 W · 35 L+18.5wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+26.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7a96…b71dbacked Next UP34c428.31$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.053933.3%13 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe544…c7afbacked mellren80c410.06$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.838545.9%39 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Next UP52c407.97$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2111,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed mellren42c405$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.852,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Next UP54c403.44$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.0775833.4%253 W · 505 L-48.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4aa7…736ebacked Next UP20c400$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid+4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Next UP56c358.49$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010063%63 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Next UP47c323.63$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.610041%41 W · 59 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-25.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x64a3…450abacked mellren64c320$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.630349.8%151 W · 152 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked mellren36c300$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19241054.6%224 W · 186 L-2.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc386…386fbacked mellren51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14725944.8%116 W · 143 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Next UP62c295$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.7945754.5%249 W · 208 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98e5…f069backed mellren61c255.39$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.614763.9%94 W · 53 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0978…0d99backed mellren34c249.06$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.8610441.3%43 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15bc…4a7ebacked mellren66c244.35$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.420147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Next UP55c243.05$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.3213060.8%79 W · 51 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked mellren47c236.42$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.310947.7%52 W · 57 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x45e4…3c69backed Next UP43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002035%7 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x685f…c586backed mellren60c224.4$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.47464.9%48 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58f9…40cfbacked Next UP11c215.4$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.14633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Next UP64c215.13$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9642255.7%235 W · 187 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda1a…3407backed mellren61c214.54$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.6728960.6%175 W · 114 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked mellren38c201$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.68949.4%44 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Next UP51c193.09$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8358149.2%286 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Next UP61c188.83$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.7321251.9%110 W · 102 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb64f…c3a9backed Next UP38c164.42$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.072128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-39.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x222b…d3fdbacked mellren44c164$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.272356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Next UP61c161.08$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6174653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3702…9b19backed mellren31c157.25$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.59533.7%32 W · 63 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Next UP62c150.55$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.0227156.8%154 W · 117 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Next UP12c144.97$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.161637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Next UP64c142.8$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9566436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked mellren55c135$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.143,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x25a4…2694backed mellren63c132.33$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd73e…bb87backed mellren59c125.88$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5313857.2%79 W · 59 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Next UP53c122.33$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.422,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Next UP61c121.75$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1151446.9%241 W · 273 L-22.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Next UP48c116$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.752,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Next UP63c115.24$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9740857.1%233 W · 175 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed mellren44c114.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.445,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked mellren40c101.83$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.141250.2%207 W · 205 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf8…1d84backed mellren41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.82445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5fe…311abacked mellren45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.43857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked mellren60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.432,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Next UP55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5039955.4%221 W · 178 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3c0…6fa5backed Next UP27c83.95$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Next UP48c83$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.432,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddbd…bcb5backed Next UP48c81.72$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5616720.4%34 W · 133 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-35.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x98df…15fcbacked mellren58c77.42$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.421346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6758…baecbacked Next UP61c75.18$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.13560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3211…9ee3backed Next UP52c75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7218951.3%97 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked Next UP54c70$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7113751.8%71 W · 66 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed mellren39c63$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4327554.9%151 W · 124 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked mellren48c62.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1452645.1%237 W · 289 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5754…cefbbacked mellren49c62.06$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.549154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22a1…0cfabacked mellren58c60.2$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f07…24a0backed mellren52c57.41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.41475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+35.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Next UP70c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,27471.5%911 W · 363 L+3.3wins0.00per pick71cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed mellren61c49$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3314735.4%52 W · 95 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Next UP27c45.93$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.555973%18 W · 579 L-221.0wins-0.37per pick40cpaid-90.7%equal weight11-0.36 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Next UP60c42.22$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2647856.7%271 W · 207 L+1.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed mellren52c42$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.231,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.