Tennis · resolved market
Kostyuk vs. Noskova: Match O/U 23.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3d42fea438b90e3ad9f5010c79a0e6956652b519147f183036808b50dc9c74b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9709…52abbacked Over | 80c | 905.42$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.34 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa678…bc50backed Under | 20c | 905.42$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.34 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +302%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Over | 47c | 831.57$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.84 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -8.6wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 53c | 793.3$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.22 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Under | 58c | 278.62$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.52 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 42c | 258.62$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.62 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 53c | 187.43$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.84 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Over | 43c | 108.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Over | 44c | 106.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x266c…6963backed Over | 52c | 90.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked Under | 56c | 67.49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Under | 57c | 61.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Under | 53c | 56.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 44c | 53.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…a72bbacked Over | 48c | 41.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x085a…58a8backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62c…9406backed Over | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kostyuk vs. Noskova: Match O/U 23.5this page
- Kostyuk vs. Noskova: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Marta Kostyuk vs. Linda Noskova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Kostyuk vs NoskovaNoskova won
- Set 2 Winner: Kostyuk vs NoskovaNoskova won
- Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Noskova (+1.5)Noskova won
- Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda NoskovaLinda Noskova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.